La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Real Madrid
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Granada
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 |
Betis
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 |
Celta
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 |
Valencia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Osasuna
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Getafe
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Cadiz
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 9 |
Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Eibar
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 |
Huesca
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 |
Valladolid
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 |
Levante
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |
Alaves
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Ath Bilbao
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álex Remiro
G
Elustondo
D
R. Le Normand
D
Aihen Muñoz
D
Mikel Merino
M
Guevara
M
Portu
M
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
A. Isak
F
Barrenetxea
M
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
T. Courtois
G
L. Modrić
M
M. Ødegaard
M
Vinícius Júnior
M
Coach: Z. Zidane
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valladolid
Sociedad
Ath Madrid
Sociedad
Sociedad
Sevilla
Villarreal
Sociedad
Sociedad
Granada
Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.