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St. Gilloise

T U S S S

5–0

Full-time

Lommel SK

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Lommel SK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 54%

67%

40%

Points per game

2,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

83%

20%

Both score Ø 35%

50%

20%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

80%

40%

Points per game

2,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

80%

20%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

3,4

1,8

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

0,6

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

28 Shots 11

12 Shots on target 4

6 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 3

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 4. · Lommel SK 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	5	5	0	0	+8	+2.2	15
2	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	+8	+4.7	15
3	Charleroi	6	5	0	1	+7	+4.5	15
4	St. Gilloise	5	4	1	0	+11	+1.2	13
5	Waregem	5	3	2	0	+7	+1.9	11
6	Standard	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.4	11
7	Anderlecht	6	3	1	2	-1	+2.7	10
8	St Truiden	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.0	9
9	Beveren	6	3	0	3	-3	-4.4	9
10	Genk	5	2	2	1	+4	+5.3	8
11	Lommel SK	5	2	1	2	+3	–	7
12	Lommel United	5	2	1	2	+3	-0.5	7
13	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.4	7
14	Westerlo	7	2	1	4	-7	-4.9	7
15	Cercle Brugge	6	0	2	4	-6	-0.2	2
16	Mechelen	6	0	2	4	-9	-1.0	2
17	RAAL La Louviere	5	0	1	4	-8	-3.0	1
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	0	0	5	-10	-5.3	0
19	Kortrijk	5	0	0	5	-11	-3.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Beveren	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.2	9
2	Gent	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.6	9
3	Standard	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.2	7
4	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.3	7
5	Genk	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.8	6
6	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
7	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.2	6
8	Charleroi	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.1	6
9	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.5	5
10	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
11	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.8	4
12	Westerlo	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.0	4
13	Lommel SK	3	1	0	2	+2	–	3
14	Lommel United	3	1	0	2	+2	-0.4	3
15	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
16	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-5	+1.7	1
17	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-5	+1.1	1
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0
19	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-7	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.0	9
2	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+4	+1.5	9
3	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.4	9
4	Gent	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.6	6
5	Waregem	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.1	5
6	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.5	4
7	Lommel SK	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
8	Lommel United	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
9	Standard	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.6	4
10	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.4	3
11	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.4	3
12	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.9	3
13	Genk	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.5	2
14	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
15	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
16	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0
17	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.6	0
18	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.4	0
19	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.