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Conference League
Referee: O Hațegan
Lugano
S S S T T
1–3
Full-time
Club Brugge
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
2,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,00 xG 0,21
0 Shots 1
0 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 0
0 Free kicks against 1
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lugano Club Brugge
15′
⚽ É. Balanta 0–1
P. Zinckernagel
27′
🟨 Igor Thiago
Renato Steffen 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Hans Vanaken
Y. Cimignani 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
46′
46′
🔁 Ferran Jutglà
↦ Thiago
50′
⚽ A. Skov Olsen 0–2
T. Buchanan
Kreshnik Hajrizi 🟨
56′
Martim Marques 🔁
↦ J. Espinoza
60′
H. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ A. Grgić
60′
63′
🔁 R. Onyedika
↦ É. Balanta
64′
🔁 M. De Cuyper
↦ B. Meijer
64′
🔁 A. Nusa
↦ A. Skov Olsen
S. Vladi 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
68′
Shkelqim Vladi 🟨
72′
1–2 S. Vladi ⚽
74′
R. Macek 🔁
↦ U. Bislimi
78′
78′
🔁 J. Ordoñez
↦ P. Zinckernagel
87′
⚽ H. Vanaken 1–3
B. Mechele
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lugano

4-3-3
1 A. Saipi G
6 J. Espinoza D
17 L. Mai D
4 K. Hajrizi D
34 A. Arigoni D
16 A. Grgić M
25 U. Bislimi M
14 J. Sabbatini M
11 R. Steffen F
9 Ž. Celar F
10 M. Bottani F
Bench (10)
21 Y. Cimignani
26 Martim Marques
29 H. Mahmoud
19 S. Vladi
7 R. Macek
5 A. Hajdari
27 B. Babic
90 S. Deana
99 D. Mina
22 A. El Wafi

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Club Brugge

4-3-1-2
22 S. Mignolet G
17 T. Buchanan D
44 B. Mechele D
58 J. Spileers D
14 B. Meijer D
39 É. Balanta M
20 H. Vanaken M
27 C. Nielsen M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
99 Thiago F
77 P. Zinckernagel F
Bench (9)
9 Ferran Jutglà
15 R. Onyedika
55 M. De Cuyper
32 A. Nusa
4 J. Ordoñez
8 M. Skóraś
6 D. Odoi
29 N. Jackers
10 H. Vetlesen

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.