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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Basel

U T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Yverdon

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Yverdon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 21%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

82%

58%

Both score Ø 70%

64%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,20 xG 2,04

42% Possession 58%

17 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 12. · Yverdon 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	7	4	1	+14	+1.1	25
2	Zurich	13	6	6	1	+11	-1.7	24
3	Servette	13	6	4	3	+3	+5.7	22
4	St. Gallen	12	6	3	3	+7	+4.7	21
5	Luzern	13	6	3	4	+0	+1.2	21
6	Lugano	12	5	1	6	+0	+3.4	16
7	Winterthur	13	4	4	5	-4	+0.3	16
8	Yverdon	12	4	4	4	-5	-5.1	16
9	Lausanne	13	4	3	6	+0	+2.0	15
10	Grasshoppers	13	3	2	8	-6	-3.7	11
11	Lausanne Ouchy	11	2	4	5	-8	-1.8	10
12	Basel	11	1	2	8	-12	-6.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	6	0	0	+10	+2.4	18
2	Luzern	7	5	1	1	+4	+2.5	16
3	Zurich	7	4	2	1	+5	-2.5	14
4	Young Boys	5	4	1	0	+10	+1.4	13
5	Lausanne	7	3	2	2	+3	+1.9	11
6	Yverdon	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.1	11
7	Winterthur	7	3	2	2	+0	+1.3	11
8	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+6	+2.3	10
9	Servette	6	2	3	1	+2	+0.7	9
10	Grasshoppers	6	2	1	3	-1	-2.1	7
11	Lausanne Ouchy	6	1	3	2	-5	+0.8	6
12	Basel	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.0	13
2	Young Boys	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.3	12
3	Zurich	6	2	4	0	+6	+0.8	10
4	Lugano	7	2	0	5	-6	+1.1	6
5	Winterthur	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.0	5
6	Luzern	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.3	5
7	Yverdon	6	1	2	3	-7	-5.2	5
8	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-3	+0.1	4
9	Lausanne Ouchy	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.6	4
10	Grasshoppers	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.6	4
11	St. Gallen	6	0	3	3	-3	+2.3	3
12	Basel	5	0	0	5	-10	-3.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.