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Super League
Referee: N Gianforte
Yverdon
S U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Winterthur
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yverdon Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
64%
82%
Both score Ø 82%
73%
91%
Average goals
3,4
4,3
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,9
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yverdon 8. · Winterthur 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 11 6 5 0 +13 -1.2 23
2 Young Boys 10 6 3 1 +11 +1.0 21
3 St. Gallen 11 5 3 3 +5 +4.5 18
4 Luzern 11 5 3 3 +0 +1.0 18
5 Servette 11 4 4 3 -1 +2.0 16
6 Lugano 10 5 0 5 +2 +3.0 15
7 Winterthur 11 4 3 4 -1 +0.4 15
8 Yverdon 11 4 3 4 -5 -5.1 15
9 Grasshoppers 11 3 2 6 -2 -1.5 11
10 Lausanne 11 2 3 6 -5 +0.0 9
11 Lausanne Ouchy 10 2 3 5 -8 -0.5 9
12 Basel 10 1 2 7 -9 -3.6 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Sep -23 Winterthur – Yverdon 1–1

Match report

Yverdon Winterthur
6′
🔁 B. Stillhart
↦ M. Araz
8′
S. Ltaief 0–1
L. Zuffi
1–1 B. Céspedes
V. Tasar
12′
Christophe Lungoyi 🟨
31′
31′
🟨 Sayfallah Ltaief
Kevin Carlos 🔁
↦ A. Mahious
38′
Boris Cespedes 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Ballet
↦ M. Di Giusto
Breston Malula 🟨
49′
Christophe Lungoyi 🟨
69′
Christophe Lungoyi 🟥
69′
Mauro Rodrigues 🔁
↦ Liziero
77′
H. Loucif 🔁
↦ E. Maurin
77′
77′
🔁 N. Burkart
↦ S. Ltaief
77′
🔁 R. Buess
↦ A. Turkes
R. Alves 🔁
↦ V. Tasar
83′
D. Del Fabro 🔁
↦ B. Malula
83′
85′
🟨 Randy Schneider
88′
🔁 S. Ramizi
↦ R. Schneider
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Yverdon

4-3-3
22 K. Martin G
32 A. Sauthier D
71 B. Malula D
2 M. Tijani D
6 W. Le Pogam D
70 E. Maurin M
5 B. Céspedes M
28 Liziero M
27 V. Tasar F
81 A. Mahious F
88 C. Lungoyi F
Bench (9)
11 Kevin Carlos
7 Mauro Rodrigues
12 H. Loucif
17 R. Alves
4 D. Del Fabro
10 D. Corness
23 N. Gunnarsson
45 S. Gouet
1 S. Breza

Coach: M. Schällibaum

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
33 M. Keller G
24 S. Sidler D
25 Y. Schmid D
16 R. Arnold D
3 T. Schättin D
40 M. Araz M
77 L. Zuffi M
6 R. Schneider M
10 M. Di Giusto M
70 S. Ltaief M
11 A. Turkes F
Bench (9)
4 B. Stillhart
17 S. Ballet
99 N. Burkart
9 R. Buess
8 S. Ramizi
14 T. Corbaz
30 M. Kuster
18 S. Diaby
19 A. Gantenbein

Coach: P. Rahmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Gianforte · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.