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Super League
Referee: A Kanagasingam
Winterthur
U T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Yverdon
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Yverdon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
83%
80%
Both score Ø 82%
83%
80%
Average goals
4,7
4,2
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
2,5
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
5,0
4,2
Scored
2,4
1,8
Conceded
2,6
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,98 xG 0,84
54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 8
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Winterthur 6. · Yverdon 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 5 3 2 0 +8 11
2 St. Gallen 6 3 2 1 +2 +1.9 11
3 Lugano 4 3 0 1 +6 +2.6 9
4 Young Boys 4 2 2 0 +4 +0.7 8
5 Luzern 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.7 8
6 Winterthur 5 2 1 2 -1 -1.4 7
7 Yverdon 5 2 1 2 -3 -3.0 7
8 Servette 5 1 3 1 -1 -2.3 6
9 Grasshoppers 6 1 1 4 -4 -0.9 4
10 Lausanne 6 1 1 4 -5 +1.4 4
11 Lausanne Ouchy 5 1 1 3 -6 +0.3 4
12 Basel 4 1 0 3 -1 +0.1 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Winterthur Yverdon
1–0 S. Ballet
A. Jankewitz
32′
Half-time 1–0
Samuel Ballet 🟨
54′
62′
🟨 Anthony Sauthier
63′
🟨 Christophe Lungoyi
Basil Stillhart 🟨
65′
N. Burkart 🔁
↦ S. Ltaief
66′
R. Buess 🔁
↦ A. Turkes
66′
69′
🟨 William Le Pogam
71′
🔁 D. Corness
↦ S. Gouet
71′
🔁 Kevin Carlos
↦ N. Lusuena
M. Araz 🔁
↦ M. Di Giusto
73′
74′
🟨 Niklas Gunnarsson
78′
🔁 H. Loucif
↦ V. Tasar
S. Ramizi 🔁
↦ S. Ballet
82′
85′
🔁 R. Alves
↦ N. Gunnarsson
86′
🔁 M. Klepač
↦ C. Lungoyi
88′
Kevin Carlos 1–1
R. Alves
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
30 M. Kuster G
19 A. Gantenbein D
23 G. Lekaj D
4 B. Stillhart D
18 S. Diaby D
45 A. Jankewitz M
77 L. Zuffi M
17 S. Ballet M
10 M. Di Giusto M
70 S. Ltaief M
11 A. Turkes F
Bench (9)
99 N. Burkart
9 R. Buess
40 M. Araz
8 S. Ramizi
24 S. Sidler
6 R. Schneider
1 J. Pukaj
16 R. Arnold
25 Y. Schmid

Coach: P. Rahmen

Yverdon

4-3-3
22 K. Martin G
32 A. Sauthier D
23 N. Gunnarsson D
4 D. Del Fabro D
6 W. Le Pogam D
45 S. Gouet M
18 N. Lusuena M
5 B. Céspedes M
27 V. Tasar F
81 A. Mahious F
88 C. Lungoyi F
Bench (8)
10 D. Corness
11 Kevin Carlos
12 H. Loucif
17 R. Alves
97 M. Klepač
2 M. Tijani
14 J. Kury
1 S. Breza

Coach: M. Schällibaum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kanagasingam · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.