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Super League
Referee: E Staubli
St. Gallen
U U T U U
2–3
Full-time
Winterthur
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Super League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
56%
41%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
59%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

73% Possession 27%
24 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
11 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 1
5 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 5. · Winterthur 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 27 16 9 2 +43 57
2 Servette 28 9 14 5 +0 41
3 Luzern 28 10 9 9 +4 39
4 Lugano 28 9 10 9 +1 37
5 St. Gallen 27 9 9 9 +10 36
6 Basel 27 8 11 8 +4 35
7 Grasshoppers 27 9 7 11 -4 34
8 Zurich 28 6 12 10 -15 30
9 Sion 27 6 9 12 -18 27
10 Winterthur 27 6 8 13 -25 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Mar -23 Winterthur – St. Gallen 1–0 30. Oct -22 Winterthur – St. Gallen 1–0 23. Jul -22 St. Gallen – Winterthur 2–0

Match report

St. Gallen Winterthur
7′
⚽ N. Burkart 0–1
Emmanuel Latte Lath 🟨
12′
1–1 I. Schmidt ⚽
L. Görtler
18′
2–1 J. Guillemenot ⚽
Jordi Quintillà
28′
37′
⚽ M. Di Giusto 2–2
43′
⚽ M. Di Giusto 2–3
J. Ardaiz
Half-time 2–3
46′
🔁 T. Schättin
↦ M. Gonçalves
52′
🟨 Granit Lekaj
56′
🟨 Sayfallah Ltaief
C. Akolo 🔁
↦ J. von Moos
62′
P. Sutter 🔁
↦ B. Stillhart
62′
65′
🔁 N. Holenstein
↦ S. Ltaief
65′
🔁 R. Arnold
↦ E. Abedini
74′
🔁 F. Rodríguez
↦ M. Di Giusto
75′
🟨 Remo Arnold
L. Dajaku 🔁
↦ L. Stergiou
76′
77′
🔁 R. Buess
↦ N. Burkart
Jérémy Guillemenot 🟨
80′
Lawrence Ati 🟨
82′
W. Geubbels 🔁
↦ E. Latte Lath
85′
N. Ndombasi 🔁
↦ C. Witzig
85′
Lukas Görtler 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Francisco Jose Rodriguez
94′
🟨 Hekuran Kryeziu
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-3
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
6 B. Stillhart D
4 L. Stergiou D
20 A. Vallçi D
33 I. Schmidt D
16 L. Görtler M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
37 C. Witzig M
11 J. von Moos F
22 E. Latte Lath F
9 J. Guillemenot F
Bench (9)
10 C. Akolo
30 P. Sutter
77 L. Dajaku
69 W. Geubbels
93 N. Ndombasi
27 R. Schneider
23 G. Karlen
25 L. Watkowiak
28 R. Alves

Coach: P. Zeidler

Winterthur

4-1-4-1
30 M. Kuster G
15 M. Gonçalves D
25 Y. Schmid D
23 G. Lekaj D
18 S. Diaby D
77 E. Abedini M
10 M. Di Giusto M
99 N. Burkart M
40 H. Kryeziu M
24 S. Ltaief M
11 J. Ardaiz F
Bench (9)
3 T. Schättin
22 N. Holenstein
16 R. Arnold
44 F. Rodríguez
9 R. Buess
5 R. Gelmi
1 T. Fayulu
20 C. Chiappetta
7 N. Manzambi

Coach: B. Berner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Staubli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.