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Super League

Referee: E Staubli

Winterthur

T T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Lausanne Ouchy

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Lausanne Ouchy

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,5

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 27%

33%

20%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

67%

80%

Both score Ø 72%

83%

60%

Average goals

4,5

2,8

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,59 xG 1,70

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 6. · Lausanne Ouchy 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	6	3	3	0	+8	–	12
2	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+5	+0.7	11
3	Luzern	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.1	11
4	St. Gallen	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.9	11
5	Lugano	5	3	0	2	+5	+2.2	9
6	Winterthur	6	2	2	2	-1	-1.3	8
7	Yverdon	6	2	2	2	-3	-3.1	8
8	Servette	6	1	3	2	-2	-2.3	6
9	Basel	5	1	1	3	-1	+0.1	4
10	Grasshoppers	6	1	1	4	-4	-0.9	4
11	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-5	+1.4	4
12	Lausanne Ouchy	5	1	1	3	-6	+0.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	3	3	0	0	+3	+0.7	9
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+5	–	7
3	Luzern	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
4	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.4	6
5	Young Boys	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.1	6
6	Winterthur	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.5	5
7	Yverdon	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.2	4
8	Basel	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.1	4
9	Lausanne Ouchy	4	1	1	2	-5	+0.0	4
10	Grasshoppers	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.3	3
11	Servette	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.6	2
12	Lausanne	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	3	1	2	0	+3	–	5
2	Young Boys	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
3	Luzern	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.3	4
4	Servette	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.6	4
5	Yverdon	4	1	1	2	-6	-2.9	4
6	Lugano	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.2	3
7	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.6	3
8	Winterthur	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.8	3
9	St. Gallen	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
10	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.6	1
11	Lausanne Ouchy	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
12	Basel	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.