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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

Zurich

U U U S S

3–2

Full-time

Winterthur

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

56%

33%

Points per game

2,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

67%

78%

Both score Ø 73%

56%

89%

Average goals

2,9

4,3

Scored

2,1

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,29 xG 2,09

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 7

9 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 1. · Winterthur 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	9	5	4	0	+12	-0.2	19
2	Young Boys	8	5	2	1	+8	+0.7	17
3	Lugano	8	5	0	3	+4	+1.9	15
4	St. Gallen	9	4	3	2	+2	+2.7	15
5	Luzern	9	4	3	2	+1	-0.5	15
6	Yverdon	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.6	15
7	Winterthur	9	3	3	3	-1	-0.0	12
8	Servette	9	2	4	3	-3	-0.1	10
9	Lausanne Ouchy	8	2	2	4	-4	+1.0	8
10	Basel	8	1	2	5	-5	-1.5	5
11	Grasshoppers	9	1	2	6	-6	-0.3	5
12	Lausanne	9	1	2	6	-7	+0.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	4	4	0	0	+4	+0.7	12
2	Zurich	4	3	1	0	+6	-1.2	10
3	Yverdon	4	3	1	0	+5	+0.1	10
4	Luzern	5	3	1	1	+1	-1.1	10
5	Young Boys	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.1	9
6	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.4	9
7	Winterthur	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
8	Servette	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.2	6
9	Basel	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.9	5
10	Lausanne Ouchy	5	1	2	2	-5	+0.8	5
11	Grasshoppers	5	1	1	3	-2	-0.9	4
12	Lausanne	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	5	2	3	0	+6	+1.1	9
2	Young Boys	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.4	8
3	Lugano	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.5	6
4	Luzern	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.6	5
5	Yverdon	5	1	2	2	-6	-3.7	5
6	Winterthur	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.8	4
7	Servette	4	1	1	2	-3	+1.1	4
8	Lausanne Ouchy	3	1	0	2	+1	+0.2	3
9	St. Gallen	5	0	3	2	-2	+2.0	3
10	Lausanne	5	1	0	4	-3	+0.1	3
11	Grasshoppers	4	0	1	3	-4	+0.6	1
12	Basel	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.