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Super League
Referee: A Jaccottet
Zurich
T T U T S
1–0
Full-time
Lugano
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
28%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
68%
44%
Both score Ø 46%
44%
48%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 18
8 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 6. · Lugano 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 26 15 6 5 +21 51
2 St. Gallen 25 15 3 7 +17 48
3 Basel 25 13 4 8 +24 43
4 Servette 26 10 10 6 +15 40
5 Luzern 26 10 5 11 -6 35
6 Zurich 25 10 5 10 -14 35
7 Lugano 25 7 9 9 -1 30
8 Sion 25 6 6 13 -14 24
9 Xamax 26 4 10 12 -19 22
10 Thun 25 6 4 15 -23 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Lugano
B. Kramer 🟨
16′
26′
🟨 R. Janga
Half-time 0–0
M. Kempter 🟨
56′
A. Winter 🔁
↦ B. Kramer
60′
67′
🔁 M. Bottani
↦ A. Gerndt
1–0 A. Marchesano
M. Schönbächler
73′
79′
🔁 F. Holender
↦ R. Janga
79′
🔁 C. Lungoyi
↦ R. Selasi
H. Koide 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
80′
H. Kryeziu 🔁
↦ S. Sohm
80′
M. Kryeziu 🔁
↦ B. Omeragic
80′
90′
🔁 M. Čovilo
↦ S. Lovric
90′
🔁 Jefferson
↦ E. Yao
T. Domgjoni 🔁
↦ A. Tosin
92′
94′
🟨 Jefferson
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
24 M. Kempter D
3 Nathan D
4 B. Omeragic D
27 M. Schönbächler M
10 A. Marchesano M
18 B. Kramer F
22 K. Rüegg D
8 V. Janjičić M
35 S. Sohm M
15 A. Tosin M
Bench (7)
7 A. Winter
43 H. Koide
71 H. Kryeziu
31 M. Kryeziu
14 T. Domgjoni
1 A. Vaņins
77 W. Britto

Coach: L. Magnin

Lugano

3-5-2
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 A. Kecskés D
18 E. Yao M
14 J. Sabbatini M
47 R. Selasi M
24 S. Lovric M
19 A. Gerndt F
9 R. Janga F
Bench (7)
10 M. Bottani
11 F. Holender
8 C. Lungoyi
6 M. Čovilo
3 Jefferson
1 D. da Costa
22 S. Guidotti

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Jaccottet · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.