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Premiership

Referee: S McLean

Motherwell

U U U S T

1–2

Full-time

Falkirk

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Falkirk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 14%

14%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

15 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 6. · Falkirk 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	6	1	0	+10	+0.8	19
2	Celtic	7	5	2	0	+8	+2.5	17
3	Kilmarnock	7	2	4	1	+3	-0.1	10
4	Dundee United	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.0	9
5	St Mirren	7	2	3	2	-1	-1.5	9
6	Motherwell	7	1	5	1	+1	+1.8	8
7	Hibernian	7	1	5	1	+0	+1.1	8
8	Rangers	7	1	5	1	-1	-0.9	8
9	Livingston	8	1	3	4	-4	+0.6	6
10	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	-5	-0.7	6
11	Dundee	8	1	3	4	-7	-2.0	6
12	Aberdeen	7	1	1	5	-5	-0.6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	3	1	0	+6	-0.1	10
2	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
3	Motherwell	3	1	2	0	+2	+2.0	5
4	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
5	St Mirren	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.2	5
6	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.7	4
7	Dundee United	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
8	Dundee	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.8	4
9	Hibernian	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.3	3
10	Livingston	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.8	3
11	Falkirk	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.1	3
12	Rangers	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.9	9
2	Celtic	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.7	7
3	Rangers	4	1	3	0	+1	-2.0	6
4	Dundee United	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.1	5
5	Kilmarnock	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.3	5
6	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.8	5
7	St Mirren	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.8	4
8	Motherwell	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.2	3
9	Livingston	5	0	3	2	-4	-0.2	3
10	Falkirk	3	1	0	2	-4	-0.8	3
11	Dundee	4	0	2	2	-5	-1.2	2
12	Aberdeen	3	0	0	3	-6	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.