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Serie B
Referee: Antonio Rapuano
Frosinone
U T S S T
0–1
Full-time
Monza
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Monza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
57%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,9
1,9
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 3. · Monza 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Modena 7 5 2 0 +10 17
2 Palermo 7 4 3 0 +6 15
3 Frosinone 7 4 2 1 +6 14
4 Venezia 7 3 3 1 +5 12
5 Avellino 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Cesena 7 3 2 2 +1 11
7 Monza 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Carrarese 7 2 4 1 +4 10
9 Juve Stabia 7 2 4 1 +0 10
10 Sudtirol 7 2 3 2 +1 9
11 Reggiana 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Virtus Entella 8 2 3 3 -2 9
13 Empoli 7 2 3 2 -3 9
14 Padova 7 2 2 3 -2 8
15 Catanzaro 7 0 6 1 -1 6
16 Bari 7 1 3 3 -5 6
17 Pescara 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Sampdoria 8 1 2 5 -5 5
19 Mantova 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Spezia 7 0 3 4 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Monza
24′
🟨 Keita Baldé
Ilias Koutsoupias 🟨
34′
38′
K. Balde 0–1
Half-time 0–1
J. Gelli 🔁
↦ I. Monterisi
46′
G. Kvernadze 🔁
↦ E. Masciangelo
57′
M. Zilli 🔁
↦ A. Raimondo
57′
58′
🔁 P. Ciurria
↦ D. Mota
58′
🔁 A. Petagna
↦ A. Colpani
71′
🔁 G. Caprari
↦ K. Balde
71′
🔁 K. Zeroli
↦ P. Obiang
E. Vergani 🔁
↦ I. Koutsoupias
72′
73′
🟨 Luca Ravanelli
M. Cichella 🔁
↦ A. Oyono
78′
83′
🔁 A. Brorsson
↦ S. Birindelli
84′
🟨 Kevin Zeroli
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Frosinone

4-2-3-1
22 L. Palmisani G
20 A. Oyono D
3 G. Calvani D
30 I. Monterisi D
79 G. Bracaglia D
8 I. Koutsoupias M
14 G. Calo M
7 F. Ghedjemis M
18 F. Grosso M
32 E. Masciangelo M
9 A. Raimondo F
Bench (12)
1 A. Sherri
75 M. Pisseri
6 J. Gelli
16 M. Cichella
17 G. Kvernadze
21 J. Oyono
24 A. Ndow
27 A. Raychev
28 M. Zilli
59 V. Hegelund
77 D. Dixon
90 E. Vergani

Coach: Massimiliano Alvini

Monza

3-4-2-1
20 D. Thiam G
4 A. Izzo D
13 L. Ravanelli D
44 A. Carboni D
19 S. Birindelli M
14 P. Obiang M
32 M. Pessina M
7 P. Azzi M
28 A. Colpani F
17 K. Balde F
47 D. Mota F
Bench (12)
1 S. Pizzignacco
2 A. Brorsson
3 L. Lucchesi
9 M. Maric
10 G. Caprari
15 F. Delli Carri
18 K. Zeroli
21 L. Colombo
24 A. Bakoune
26 P. Ciurria
27 S. Capolupo
37 A. Petagna

Coach: Paolo Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
U
3,14
B ✓
2,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Rapuano · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.