Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Egersund
Raufoss
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | +57 | 68 |
| 2 |
Start
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 44 |
| 3 |
Lyn
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 44 |
| 4 |
Aalesund
|
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | +15 | 41 |
| 5 |
Kongsvinger
|
24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | +12 | 41 |
| 6 |
Egersund
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 |
Sogndal
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +0 | 36 |
| 8 |
Ranheim
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Odd
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 |
hodd
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -13 | 30 |
| 11 |
Asane
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -10 | 28 |
| 12 |
Raufoss
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 |
Moss
|
25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -19 | 26 |
| 14 |
Stabaek
|
25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -27 | 18 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
26 | 1 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ranheim
Egersund
Egersund
Start
Kongsvinger
Egersund
Egersund
Stabaek
Arendal
Egersund
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.