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Taça de Portugal
AD Fornos Algodres
T S
0–7
Full-time
AVS
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AD Fornos Algodres AVS
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
3,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lusitano Évora 1911 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 CD Olivais e Moscavide 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Caldas 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Vila Meã 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Espinho 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Vianense 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Comércio Indústria 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Vila Real 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Amarante 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 CF Os Belenenses 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 1º Dezembro 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Vila Caíz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 AD Marco 09 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Celoricense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Ovarense 2 1 1 0 +6 4
16 Marinhense 2 1 1 0 +6 4
17 Moncarapachense 2 1 1 0 +3 4
18 Gouveia 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Anadia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
20 Mortágua 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Os Marialvas 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Peniche 2 1 0 1 +7 3
23 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 1 0 0 +6 3
24 Alpendorada 1 1 0 0 +6 3
25 Sacavenense 2 1 0 1 +5 3
26 Atlético Malveira 2 1 0 1 +5 3
27 Bragança 1 1 0 0 +5 3
28 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +5 3
29 Louletano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
30 São João Ver 1 1 0 0 +4 3
31 Felgueiras 1932 1 1 0 0 +4 3
32 Trofense 2 1 0 1 +3 3
33 Academico Viseu 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 União de Leiria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 O Elvas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Oliveirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 FC Serpa 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 AD Fornos Algodres 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Naval 1893 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Torreense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Ançã 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Farense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Silves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Rebordosa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Mirandela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 União Lamas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Portimonense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Resende 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Fafe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Atlético CP 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Pacos Ferreira 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Uniao Nogueirense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Salgueiros 2 1 0 1 +0 3
57 Correlhã 2 1 0 1 +0 3
58 Chaves 2 1 0 1 +0 3
59 Oriental Lisboa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Nazarenos 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 Monção 2 1 0 1 -1 3
62 Machico 2 1 0 1 -1 3
63 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2 1 0 1 -3 3
64 Brito 2 1 0 1 -4 3
65 Castrense 2 1 0 1 -4 3
66 Rebordelo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 SC Covilha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Samora Correir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Portimonense B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Penafiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Charneca Caparica 2 0 1 1 -2 1
73 Oliveira Hospital 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Eléctrico 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Camacha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Vizela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Tirsense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Lagoa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 AR São Martinho 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Vitória de Sernache 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Carregal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Academica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Juventude Évora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Feirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Vilaverdense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Quarteirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Amora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Florgrade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Cinfães 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Mafra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Celeirós 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Sourense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Pontassolense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Aparecida GO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Leça 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 União Santarém 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Paredes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 UD da Serra 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Vidago 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Valenciano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Fátima 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Portalegrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Varzim 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 Almodôvar 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Sanjoanense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
121 Os Limianos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
122 Operário 1 0 0 1 -5 0
123 Fayal 1 0 0 1 -5 0
124 Angrense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
125 Estrela Calheta 1 0 0 1 -6 0
126 SC Celoricense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
127 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
128 Urzelinense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
129 Lajense 2 0 0 2 -7 0
130 Rabo Peixe 1 0 0 1 -7 0
131 Ferreira Zêzere 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AD Fornos Algodres AVS
8′
⚽ D. Spencer 0–1
11′
⚽ Pedro Lima 0–2
J. Correia 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–2
A. Marcal 🔁
↦ M. Pinto
46′
46′
🔁 R. Barbosa
↦ J. Grau
J. Correia 🟨
49′
J. Correia 🟥
49′
63′
🔁 Kiki
↦ D. Rivas
63′
🔁 B. Lourenco
↦ T. Akinsola
63′
🔁 Nene
↦ Tomane
63′
⚽ R. Barbosa 0–3
P. Moises 🔁
↦ V. Vilaverde
66′
H. Costa 🔁
↦ Bruno Costa
70′
D. Rebelo 🔁
↦ D. Pina
70′
75′
🔁 T. Galletto
↦ Pedro Lima
J. Silva 🔁
↦ H. Marques
79′
82′
⚽ B. Lourenco 0–4
84′
⚽ K. Kodisang 0–5
86′
⚽ D. Spencer 0–6
88′
🟨 T. Galletto
90′
⚽ Kiki 0–7
Full-time 0–7

Line-ups

AD Fornos Algodres

12 Sea
20 D. Aquino
31 E. Ca
5 H. Marques
55 M. Oliveira
8 M. Pinto
7 D. Pina
77 Luisinho
79 V. Vilaverde
10 Bruno Costa
33 E. Ferreira
Bench (7)
30 A. Marcal
15 J. Gomes
29 G. Barbosa
21 J. Silva
23 H. Costa
32 D. Rebelo
99 P. Moises

AVS

99 Joao Goncalves
4 S. Bane
3 Paulo Vitor
12 D. Rivas
2 D. Spencer
15 J. Grau
8 Pedro Lima
11 T. Akinsola
16 K. Kodisang
7 Tomane
6 G. Assuncao
Bench (9)
93 Simao
24 Kiki
19 T. Galletto
17 B. Lourenco
23 G. Mendonca
21 G. Neiva
18 Nene
20 D. Duarte
10 R. Barbosa

Coach: Joao Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.