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Bundesliga
Referee: M Greinecker
Tirol
U T U T T
2–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Austria Vienna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 35%
25%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 72%
88%
56%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 10. · Austria Vienna 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 8 6 0 2 +10 +2.9 18
2 Salzburg 9 5 2 2 +7 +4.2 17
3 Wolfsberger AC 9 5 2 2 +7 +0.1 17
4 SK Rapid 9 5 2 2 +4 +0.8 17
5 Austria Vienna 9 4 1 4 -1 +0.0 13
6 Altach 9 3 3 3 +0 +1.1 12
7 Hartberg 9 3 2 4 +0 -0.4 11
8 Ried 9 3 2 4 +0 -2.4 11
9 BW Linz 9 3 1 5 -4 -2.2 10
10 Tirol 8 2 3 3 -2 +3.9 9
11 LASK 9 2 1 6 -8 -5.0 7
12 Grazer AK 9 0 5 4 -13 -3.0 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.