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Serie B

Referee: Davide Di Marco

Mantova

T T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Sudtirol

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

14%

29%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 72%

57%

86%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,6

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

83% Possession 17%

25 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 1

10 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mantova 19. · Sudtirol 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	7	5	2	0	+10	17
2	Palermo	7	4	3	0	+6	15
3	Frosinone	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Venezia	7	3	3	1	+5	12
5	Avellino	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Cesena	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Monza	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Carrarese	7	2	4	1	+4	10
9	Juve Stabia	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Sudtirol	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Reggiana	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Virtus Entella	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Empoli	7	2	3	2	-3	9
14	Padova	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Catanzaro	7	0	6	1	-1	6
16	Bari	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Pescara	7	1	2	4	-3	5
18	Sampdoria	8	1	2	5	-5	5
19	Mantova	7	1	1	5	-8	4
20	Spezia	7	0	3	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Venezia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Monza	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Virtus Entella	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Palermo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Frosinone	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Avellino	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Empoli	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Pescara	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Reggiana	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Carrarese	4	1	2	1	+2	5
13	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Padova	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Catanzaro	3	0	3	0	+0	3
18	Mantova	3	1	0	2	-5	3
19	Cesena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Spezia	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	4	3	0	1	+2	9
2	Modena	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Carrarese	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Avellino	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Juve Stabia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Padova	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Sudtirol	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Venezia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Monza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Spezia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Virtus Entella	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Bari	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Pescara	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.