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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Ath Madrid

U S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Osasuna

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,2

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

38%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

88%

38%

Average goals

3,1

1,9

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,58 xG 1,14

59% Possession 41%

18 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

4 Corners 2

6 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 6. · Osasuna 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	7	1	1	+14	+9.0	22
2	Real Madrid	8	7	0	1	+10	+8.2	21
3	Villarreal	9	5	2	2	+6	+2.2	17
4	Betis	9	4	4	1	+5	+3.7	16
5	Espanol	9	4	3	2	+2	+6.4	15
6	Ath Madrid	8	3	4	1	+5	+4.9	13
7	Sevilla	9	4	1	4	+2	-6.2	13
8	Elche	8	3	4	1	+2	-0.6	13
9	Ath Bilbao	8	4	1	3	+0	+5.8	13
10	Alaves	8	3	2	3	+1	+1.3	11
11	Getafe	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
12	Osasuna	8	3	1	4	-1	-1.3	10
13	Levante	8	2	2	4	-1	-0.3	8
14	Vallecano	8	2	2	4	-2	+0.7	8
15	Mallorca	9	2	2	5	-4	-8.2	8
16	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-4	-2.1	8
17	Celta	8	0	6	2	-3	+0.2	6
18	Oviedo	9	2	0	7	-12	-10.5	6
19	Girona	9	1	3	5	-13	-9.3	6
20	Sociedad	8	1	2	5	-5	-2.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	5	4	1	0	+9	+3.7	13
2	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	+6.9	12
3	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.1	12
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	+4.8	10
5	Osasuna	4	3	1	0	+4	+0.6	10
6	Elche	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.1	10
7	Espanol	5	3	1	1	+2	+2.9	10
8	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+2	+6.5	10
9	Betis	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.0	9
10	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+4	+3.8	7
11	Alaves	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.8	7
12	Getafe	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.7	5
13	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	-2	-3.7	5
14	Sevilla	5	1	1	3	-1	-1.8	4
15	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.1	4
16	Celta	5	0	4	1	-2	+3.2	4
17	Girona	5	1	1	3	-7	-4.5	4
18	Oviedo	5	1	0	4	-8	-7.5	3
19	Vallecano	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.6	2
20	Levante	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.2	10
2	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	+4	+3.0	9
3	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+3	-4.5	9
4	Levante	5	2	1	2	+3	+3.2	7
5	Betis	5	1	4	0	+1	+1.8	7
6	Vallecano	5	2	0	3	-1	-0.8	6
7	Getafe	5	2	0	3	-4	-0.9	6
8	Espanol	4	1	2	1	+0	+3.5	5
9	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.4	4
10	Villarreal	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
11	Ath Madrid	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.0	3
12	Mallorca	5	1	0	4	-2	-4.5	3
13	Elche	4	0	3	1	-2	-2.7	3
14	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.7	3
15	Oviedo	4	1	0	3	-4	-3.0	3
16	Celta	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.0	2
17	Girona	4	0	2	2	-6	-4.8	2
18	Sociedad	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.4	1
19	Valencia	4	0	1	3	-8	-6.0	1
20	Osasuna	4	0	0	4	-5	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.