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LaLiga2

Referee: Miguel Gonzalez Diaz

Ceuta

U S U S U

2–0

Full-time

Mirandes

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Mirandes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

33%

22%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 45%

33%

56%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ceuta 14. · Mirandes 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cadiz	9	5	3	1	+4	–	18
2	La Coruna	9	4	4	1	+8	–	16
3	Santander	9	5	1	3	+6	–	16
4	Valladolid	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.3	15
5	Las Palmas	9	4	3	2	+3	–	15
6	Almeria	9	4	3	2	+2	–	15
7	Andorra	10	4	3	3	+0	–	15
8	Huesca	9	4	1	4	-3	–	13
9	Burgos	9	3	3	3	+3	+3.1	12
10	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	–	12
11	Castellon	9	3	3	3	+1	–	12
12	Sp Gijon	9	4	0	5	-2	–	12
13	Cordoba	9	3	3	3	-2	–	12
14	Ceuta	9	3	3	3	-4	-2.3	12
15	Leganes	9	2	5	2	+1	–	11
16	Malaga	9	3	2	4	-1	–	11
17	Albacete	9	2	4	3	-2	–	10
18	Granada	10	2	4	4	-4	–	10
19	Sociedad B	9	2	3	4	-2	–	9
20	Mirandes	9	2	3	4	-3	–	9
21	Cultural Leonesa	9	2	2	5	-6	-3.1	8
22	Zaragoza	9	1	3	5	-6	–	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cadiz	5	4	1	0	+4	–	13
2	Eibar	5	3	2	0	+6	–	11
3	Huesca	5	3	1	1	+2	–	10
4	Santander	5	3	0	2	+5	–	9
5	Sociedad B	5	2	3	0	+4	–	9
6	Ceuta	4	3	0	1	+2	–	9
7	Sp Gijon	5	3	0	2	+1	–	9
8	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+5	–	8
9	Burgos	5	2	2	1	+4	+3.1	8
10	Valladolid	5	2	2	1	+4	+2.3	8
11	Malaga	5	2	2	1	+3	–	8
12	Andorra	5	2	2	1	+2	–	8
13	Almeria	4	2	1	1	+2	–	7
14	Cordoba	4	2	1	1	+0	–	7
15	Las Palmas	5	2	1	2	+0	–	7
16	Castellon	4	1	2	1	+1	–	5
17	Granada	5	1	1	3	-2	–	4
18	Albacete	4	1	1	2	-2	–	4
19	Leganes	4	0	2	2	-2	–	2
20	Zaragoza	4	0	2	2	-3	–	2
21	Cultural Leonesa	4	0	2	2	-3	–	2
22	Mirandes	4	0	1	3	-6	–	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leganes	5	2	3	0	+3	–	9
2	La Coruna	5	2	2	1	+3	–	8
3	Mirandes	5	2	2	1	+3	–	8
4	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+3	–	8
5	Almeria	5	2	2	1	+0	–	8
6	Santander	4	2	1	1	+1	–	7
7	Castellon	5	2	1	2	+0	–	7
8	Valladolid	4	2	1	1	+0	–	7
9	Andorra	5	2	1	2	-2	–	7
10	Albacete	5	1	3	1	+0	–	6
11	Granada	5	1	3	1	-2	–	6
12	Cultural Leonesa	5	2	0	3	-3	-3.1	6
13	Cadiz	4	1	2	1	+0	–	5
14	Cordoba	5	1	2	2	-2	–	5
15	Burgos	4	1	1	2	-1	–	4
16	Zaragoza	5	1	1	3	-3	–	4
17	Sp Gijon	4	1	0	3	-3	–	3
18	Malaga	4	1	0	3	-4	–	3
19	Huesca	4	1	0	3	-5	–	3
20	Ceuta	5	0	3	2	-6	-2.3	3
21	Eibar	4	0	1	3	-3	–	1
22	Sociedad B	4	0	0	4	-6	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.