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Super League

Referee: Urs Schnyder

Basel

S T T S S

3–0

Full-time

Winterthur

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

4,7

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

3,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

63%

Points per game

1,9

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

88%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

3,3

4,4

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

3,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

4,01 xG 0,75

59% Possession 41%

30 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 3. · Winterthur 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	8	5	1	2	+4	-1.2	16
2	St. Gallen	8	5	0	3	+7	+1.7	15
3	Basel	8	5	0	3	+6	+7.0	15
4	Young Boys	8	4	2	2	-1	-2.7	14
5	Zurich	8	4	1	3	-2	+2.6	13
6	Sion	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.2	12
7	Luzern	8	3	3	2	+1	-4.4	12
8	Lugano	8	3	1	4	-3	+3.2	10
9	Grasshoppers	8	2	3	3	+2	-4.4	9
10	Lausanne	8	2	2	4	+1	+3.3	8
11	Servette	8	2	2	4	-3	+0.2	8
12	Winterthur	8	0	2	6	-15	-6.5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	4	3	1	0	+6	+2.4	10
2	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+5	+2.1	9
3	Grasshoppers	4	2	1	1	+4	+0.5	7
4	Lugano	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.8	7
5	Lausanne	4	2	0	2	+4	+2.9	6
6	Basel	3	2	0	1	+3	+6.7	6
7	Zurich	4	2	0	2	-2	+2.2	6
8	Servette	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.6	5
9	Sion	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.2	4
10	Thun	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.9	4
11	Luzern	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.5	2
12	Winterthur	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	5	4	0	1	+5	+0.6	12
2	Luzern	4	3	1	0	+3	-3.9	10
3	Basel	5	3	0	2	+3	+0.3	9
4	Sion	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.4	8
5	Zurich	4	2	1	1	+0	+0.4	7
6	St. Gallen	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.4	6
7	Young Boys	4	1	1	2	-7	-5.1	4
8	Servette	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.5	3
9	Lugano	4	1	0	3	-5	+1.5	3
10	Grasshoppers	4	0	2	2	-2	-4.8	2
11	Lausanne	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.4	2
12	Winterthur	4	0	1	3	-10	-4.7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.