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Taça de Portugal
2–1
Full-time
Gil Vicente
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Academico Viseu Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espinho 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Alpendorada 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Lusitano Évora 1911 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 CD Olivais e Moscavide 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Caldas 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Vila Meã 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Vianense 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Comércio Indústria 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Vila Real 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Amarante 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 CF Os Belenenses 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 1º Dezembro 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Vila Caíz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 AD Marco 09 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Celoricense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
16 Ovarense 2 1 1 0 +6 4
17 Marinhense 2 1 1 0 +6 4
18 Moncarapachense 2 1 1 0 +3 4
19 União de Leiria 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Gouveia 2 1 1 0 +2 4
21 Torreense 2 1 1 0 +2 4
22 Oliveirense 2 1 1 0 +2 4
23 SC Covilha 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Anadia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Mortágua 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 Os Marialvas 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Peniche 2 1 0 1 +7 3
28 AVS 1 1 0 0 +7 3
29 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 1 0 0 +6 3
30 Sacavenense 2 1 0 1 +5 3
31 Atlético Malveira 2 1 0 1 +5 3
32 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +5 3
33 Louletano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
34 Bragança 2 1 0 1 +4 3
35 Felgueiras 1932 1 1 0 0 +4 3
36 Trofense 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 Famalicao 1 1 0 0 +3 3
38 Academico Viseu 1 1 0 0 +3 3
39 O Elvas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Nacional 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 FC Serpa 2 1 0 1 +2 3
42 Naval 1893 2 1 0 1 +2 3
43 Ançã 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
45 Farense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
46 São João Ver 2 1 0 1 +1 3
47 Silves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Arouca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Rebordosa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
50 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Mirandela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 União Lamas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Resende 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Fafe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Atlético CP 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Pacos Ferreira 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Salgueiros 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Portimonense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 Correlhã 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Chaves 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Oriental Lisboa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
64 Uniao Nogueirense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Nazarenos 2 1 0 1 +0 3
66 Monção 2 1 0 1 -1 3
67 Machico 2 1 0 1 -1 3
68 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2 1 0 1 -3 3
69 Brito 2 1 0 1 -4 3
70 Castrense 2 1 0 1 -4 3
71 AD Fornos Algodres 2 1 0 1 -5 3
72 Alverca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Samora Correir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Portimonense B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Penafiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Santa Clara 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Rebordelo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
79 Charneca Caparica 2 0 1 1 -2 1
80 Oliveira Hospital 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Eléctrico 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Camacha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Vizela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Tirsense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Lagoa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 AR São Martinho 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Vitória de Sernache 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Carregal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Academica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Juventude Évora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Feirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Vilaverdense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Quarteirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Amora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Florgrade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Cinfães 1 0 0 1 -1 0
102 Mafra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
103 Celeirós 1 0 0 1 -1 0
104 Sourense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
105 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
106 Pontassolense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Estrela 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Aparecida GO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Leça 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 União Santarém 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Paredes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 UD da Serra 1 0 0 1 -2 0
116 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
117 Vidago 1 0 0 1 -2 0
118 Valenciano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
121 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
122 Fátima 1 0 0 1 -3 0
123 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -3 0
124 Portalegrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
125 Varzim 1 0 0 1 -4 0
126 Almodôvar 1 0 0 1 -4 0
127 Sanjoanense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
128 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
129 Os Limianos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
130 Operário 1 0 0 1 -5 0
131 Fayal 1 0 0 1 -5 0
132 Angrense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
133 Estrela Calheta 1 0 0 1 -6 0
134 SC Celoricense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
135 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
136 Urzelinense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
137 Lajense 2 0 0 2 -7 0
138 Rabo Peixe 1 0 0 1 -7 0
139 Ferreira Zêzere 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Academico Viseu Gil Vicente
3′
G. Varela 0–1
1–1 Andre Clovis
7′
2–1 Andre Clovis
26′
Half-time 2–1
Joao Guilherme 🔁
↦ N. Mortimer
46′
46′
🔁 A. Moreira
↦ J. Fernandes
46′
🔁 G. Konan
↦ Ze Carlos
🟨
53′
Robinho 🔁
↦ C. Kahraman
63′
S. Kone 🔁
↦ B. Rojas
63′
🟨
66′
66′
🔁 Bermejo
↦ Murilo de Souza
66′
🔁 Pablo
↦ Ze Carlos
B. Silva 🔁
↦ A. Zamora
77′
T. Silva 🔁
↦ L. Silva
79′
🟨
80′
85′
🔁 T. Toure
↦ S. Garcia
🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Academico Viseu

75 D. Gril
66 I. Milioransa
41 A. Correia
33 Andre Clovis
32 A. Zamora
22 N. Mortimer
20 B. Rojas
17 C. Kahraman
14 S. Messeguem
7 L. Silva
2 N. Michelis
Bench (9)
78 B. Silva
57 G. Costa
55 T. Silva
47 L. Gohi
31 Joao Guilherme
9 Robinho
8 S. Kone
5 Pedro Barcelos
1 Bruno Brigido

Coach: Sergio Fonseca

Gil Vicente

99 Figueira Daniel
95 S. Garcia
89 G. Varela
77 Murilo de Souza
48 A. Espigares
39 J. Buatu
20 S. Hevertton
11 J. Fernandes
10 L. Esteves
6 Ze Carlos
2 Ze Carlos
Bench (9)
32 M. Fernandez
27 A. Moreira
17 Bermejo
9 Pablo
7 T. Toure
5 F. Caseres
4 M. Elimbi
3 G. Konan
1 A. Picornell

Coach: Cesar Peixoto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.