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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
1–2
Full-time
Ried
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
7 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 3. · Ried 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 8 6 0 2 +10 +2.9 18
2 Salzburg 9 5 2 2 +7 +4.2 17
3 Wolfsberger AC 9 5 2 2 +7 +0.1 17
4 SK Rapid 9 5 2 2 +4 +0.8 17
5 Austria Vienna 9 4 1 4 -1 +0.0 13
6 Altach 9 3 3 3 +0 +1.1 12
7 Hartberg 9 3 2 4 +0 -0.4 11
8 Ried 9 3 2 4 +0 -2.4 11
9 BW Linz 9 3 1 5 -4 -2.2 10
10 Tirol 8 2 3 3 -2 +3.9 9
11 LASK 9 2 1 6 -8 -5.0 7
12 Grazer AK 9 0 5 4 -13 -3.0 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsberger AC Ried
1–0 D. Zukic
B. Matic
20′
Half-time 1–0
F. Wohlmuth 🔁
↦ B. Matic
46′
53′
🔁 K. Mutandwa
↦ P. Kiedl
53′
K. Mutandwa 1–1
N. Havenaar
62′
🟨 Jonas Mayer
C. Diabate 🔁
↦ A. Schopf
63′
Chibuike Nwaiwu 🟨
65′
D. Avdijaj 🔁
↦ D. Zukic
70′
E. Kojzek 🔁
↦ M. Pink
70′
72′
🔁 F. Rossdorfer
↦ N. Bajlicz
84′
🔁 J. Boguo
↦ A. van Wyk
Fabian Wohlmuth 🟨
86′
90′
K. Mutandwa 1–2
Cheick Mamadou Diabate 🟥
93′
95′
🟨 Kingstone Mutandwa
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC

3-4-1-2
12 N. Polster G
22 D. Baumgartner D
27 C. Nwaiwu D
37 N. Wimmer D
2 B. Matic M
8 S. Piesinger M
18 A. Schopf M
77 R. Renner M
20 D. Zukic F
32 M. Pink F
7 A. Gattermayer F
Bench (9)
1 L. Gutlbauer
15 C. Diabate
31 F. Wohlmuth
10 D. Avdijaj
30 M. Sulzner
34 E. Agyeman
35 E. Chukwu
9 E. Kojzek
11 R. Ogam

Coach: Ismail Atalan

Ried

3-4-3
1 A. Leitner G
5 N. Havenaar D
23 M. Sollbauer D
30 O. Steurer D
12 A. Bajic M
6 Y. Maart M
26 J. Mayer M
17 P. Pomer M
28 N. Bajlicz F
13 P. Kiedl F
29 A. van Wyk F
Bench (9)
77 F. Wimmer
3 J. Scherzer
14 P. Weissenbacher
24 C. Wernitznig
8 M. Rasner
15 J. Boguo
18 F. Rossdorfer
7 K. Mutandwa
11 E. Azkune

Coach: Maximilian Senft

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.