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Premiership

Referee: D Nicolson

Falkirk

U T S

1–2

Full-time

St Mirren

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Falkirk St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

10 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

8 Offside 4

6 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Falkirk 8. · St Mirren 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+6	+2.5	10
2	Hearts	4	3	1	0	+4	+0.8	10
3	Hibernian	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.1	5
4	Dundee United	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.0	4
5	Kilmarnock	4	0	4	0	+0	-0.1	4
6	Motherwell	4	0	4	0	+0	+1.8	4
7	Rangers	4	0	4	0	+0	-0.9	4
8	Falkirk	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.7	4
9	Livingston	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.6	4
10	St Mirren	4	0	3	1	-1	-1.5	3
11	Dundee	4	0	2	2	-3	-2.0	2
12	Aberdeen	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
2	Hearts	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.1	4
3	Livingston	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
4	Hibernian	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
5	Motherwell	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.0	2
6	Kilmarnock	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
7	St Mirren	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
8	Rangers	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.2	2
9	Falkirk	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Dundee United	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
11	Dundee	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.9	6
2	Dundee United	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.1	4
3	Celtic	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.7	4
4	Hibernian	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
5	Falkirk	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
6	Kilmarnock	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.3	2
7	Motherwell	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
8	Rangers	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
9	Dundee	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.2	2
10	St Mirren	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
11	Livingston	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
12	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.