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Ligue 2

Referee: Florent Batta

St Etienne

S S S T S

2–3

Full-time

Le Mans

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Le Mans

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

67%

22%

Points per game

2,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

72% Possession 28%

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 24

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 3. · Le Mans 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	10	7	2	1	+11	23
2	Pau FC	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	St Etienne	9	6	2	1	+9	20
4	Red Star	10	6	2	2	+7	20
5	Reims	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	Guingamp	10	4	3	3	-3	15
7	Montpellier	10	4	2	4	-1	14
8	Rodez	10	3	4	3	-3	13
9	Nancy	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Annecy	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Dunkerque	10	2	4	4	+1	10
12	Le Mans	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Grenoble	10	2	4	4	-2	10
14	Boulogne	10	3	1	6	-4	10
15	Clermont	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Amiens	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Laval	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Bastia	10	0	4	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Pau FC	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Reims	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Dunkerque	6	2	2	2	+3	8
5	Guingamp	5	2	2	1	-2	8
6	St Etienne	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Le Mans	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Rodez	6	1	3	2	-1	6
9	Grenoble	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Clermont	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Montpellier	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Nancy	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Red Star	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Boulogne	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Annecy	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Bastia	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Amiens	5	0	2	3	-3	2
18	Laval	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	St Etienne	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Pau FC	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Annecy	6	3	0	3	-1	9
6	Nancy	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Amiens	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Rodez	4	2	1	1	-2	7
10	Boulogne	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Laval	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Reims	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Troyes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Clermont	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Grenoble	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Le Mans	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Dunkerque	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Bastia	6	0	2	4	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.