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Premiership

Referee: E Anderson

Hearts

S T S S U

1–2

Full-time

Kilmarnock

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — Premiership · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 16%

10%

22%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

56%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,6

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%

18 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 11. · Kilmarnock 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	9	8	1	0	+24	25
2	Aberdeen	9	8	1	0	+10	25
3	Rangers	9	6	1	2	+8	19
4	Dundee United	9	4	3	2	+3	15
5	Motherwell	9	4	1	4	-1	13
6	ST Johnstone	10	3	1	6	-7	10
7	Ross County	10	2	4	4	-8	10
8	Dundee	9	2	3	4	-2	9
9	Kilmarnock	9	2	3	4	-8	9
10	St Mirren	10	2	2	6	-8	8
11	Hearts	10	1	3	6	-5	6
12	Hibernian	9	1	3	5	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Aberdeen	5	5	0	0	+7	15
3	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Ross County	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Dundee United	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	St Mirren	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Motherwell	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Hearts	4	1	2	1	+3	5
9	Hibernian	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Dundee	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	ST Johnstone	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Aberdeen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Dundee United	5	2	2	1	+1	8
4	ST Johnstone	6	2	1	3	-2	7
5	Motherwell	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Dundee	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Rangers	4	1	1	2	-3	4
8	Kilmarnock	5	1	1	3	-6	4
9	Ross County	4	0	2	2	-9	2
10	Hibernian	4	0	1	3	-5	1
11	Hearts	6	0	1	5	-8	1
12	St Mirren	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.