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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Ross County
S U U T T
2–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 18%
11%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 47%
44%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ross County 10. · Kilmarnock 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 8 7 1 0 +21 22
2 Aberdeen 8 7 1 0 +9 22
3 Rangers 8 5 1 2 +7 16
4 Dundee United 8 4 3 1 +4 15
5 Motherwell 8 4 1 3 +2 13
6 ST Johnstone 10 3 1 6 -7 10
7 Dundee 9 2 3 4 -2 9
8 Kilmarnock 8 2 3 3 -7 9
9 St Mirren 9 2 2 5 -7 8
10 Ross County 9 1 4 4 -9 7
11 Hearts 9 1 2 6 -5 5
12 Hibernian 8 1 2 5 -6 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County Kilmarnock
39′
C. Ndaba 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Wright
↦ S. Findlay
53′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
60′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
60′
🟥 Liam Donnelly
1–1 J. White
61′
63′
🟨 Bradley Lyons
A. Samuel 🔁
↦ R. Leak
65′
69′
🔁 D. Watson
↦ K. Vassell
Connor Randall 🟨
72′
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ R. Hale
77′
S. Allardice 🔁
↦ A. Denholm
77′
M. Efete 🔁
↦ Josh Reid
77′
78′
🔁 J. Burroughs
↦ D. Armstrong
1–2 J. Wright
own goal
82′
J. Nisbet 🔁
↦ N. Chilvers
88′
88′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ M. Kennedy
97′
🟥 Joe Wright
VAR: Red card cancelled
98′
🟨 Joe Wright
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ross County

3-4-1-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
4 A. Wright D
20 K. Łopata D
3 R. Leak D
2 J. Brown M
15 A. Denholm M
8 C. Randall M
43 Josh Reid M
10 N. Chilvers F
26 J. White F
9 R. Hale F
Bench (9)
25 A. Samuel
27 E. Brophy
6 S. Allardice
24 M. Efete
23 J. Nisbet
14 J. Grieves
5 R. Lamie
7 V. Loturi
22 J. Hamilton

Coach: D. Cowie

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
20 R. McCrorie G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Lyons M
22 L. Donnelly M
10 M. Kennedy M
9 K. Vassell F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
4 J. Wright
12 D. Watson
2 J. Burroughs
19 B. Anderson
7 R. McKenzie
14 G. Mackay-Steven
1 K. O'Hara
24 B. Wales
15 F. Murray

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,17
U
3,33
B
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.