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Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Waalwijk

T T T U T

3–1

Full-time

Vitesse

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

41% Possession 59%

18 Shots 21

9 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 9

3 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Noordwijk	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Winterswijk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Hercules	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	OJC Rosmalen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Dovo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	SC Genemuiden	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
16	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
18	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
19	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
24	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
48	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
49	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Noordwijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
25	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.