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Copa del Rey

Referee: Fernando Bueno

Conquense

1–0

Full-time

Ibiza

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
34	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
10	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
36	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Conquense Ibiza

Half-time 0–0

Sergio Rodríguez 🔁

↦ Joan Monterde

62′

Raúl Caballero 🔁

↦ Luis Castillo

62′

1–0 Raúl Caballero ⚽

68′

Antonio Fernández 🔁

↦ Jairo Cárcaba

74′

75′

🔁 Quique González

↦ L. Kourouma

75′

🔁 Arturo Molina

↦ Fausto Tienza

75′

🔁 Eugeni Valderrama

↦ Pau Ferrer

78′

🔁 Javi Jiménez

↦ J. Matos

Pablo Mendoza 🔁

↦ Y. Yoshimura

85′

93′

🟨 J. Naranjo

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Conquense

1 Raúl Bernabeu

16 Pedro Inglés

5 Titi Fernández

17 Etxebe

24 B. Sina

21 Luis Castillo

14 Y. Yoshimura

8 Pablo Olivares

9 Jairo Cárcaba

7 Joan Monterde

6 José Álvarez

Bench (9)

3 Sergio Rodríguez

20 Raúl Caballero

19 Antonio Fernández

27 Pablo Mendoza

10 Héctor Rubio

11 Jesús Serrano

13 Álvaro Hormiga

4 Marcos Recuenco

23 Kain

Coach: Roberto Gutiérrez

Ibiza

13 Belman

2 J. Matos

4 Eric Monjonell

23 Alberto Escassi

8 Fausto Tienza

19 José Naranjo

11 David Astals

Marc Domènech

L. Kourouma

10 Álex Gallar

9 Pau Ferrer

Bench (11)

7 Quique González

18 Arturo Molina

21 Eugeni Valderrama

5 Javi Jiménez

6 Jesús Álvarez

27 P. Pugliese

28 Óscar Vivares

25 A. Chekotun

1 Ramón Juan

16 Roberto Olabe

20 Iago Indias

Coach: Jose Martí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

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Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Conquense

Ibiza

Odds comparison

Recent matches