Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Atalanta
Monza
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | +7.9 | 25 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | +6.3 | 21 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +10 | +6.2 | 17 |
| 4 |
Fiorentina
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | +7.2 | 16 |
| 5 |
Atalanta
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +10 | +9.1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Lazio
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | +5.2 | 16 |
| 7 |
Udinese
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +0 | -5.5 | 16 |
| 8 |
Milan
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | +6.2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | -3.6 | 14 |
| 10 |
Bologna
|
9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +0 | -0.7 | 12 |
| 11 |
Empoli
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | -6.5 | 11 |
| 12 |
Roma
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | -1.9 | 10 |
| 13 |
Como
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | -0.0 | 9 |
| 14 |
Verona
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | -5.6 | 9 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -9 | -1.5 | 9 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | -3.5 | 8 |
| 17 |
Parma
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | -0.0 | 8 |
| 18 |
Venezia
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | -4.3 | 8 |
| 19 |
Lecce
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -15 | -6.2 | 8 |
| 20 |
Genoa
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | -9.0 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Carnesecchi
G
S. Kolašinac
D
R. Bellanova
M
M. de Roon
M
Éderson
M
M. Ruggeri
M
C. De Ketelaere
F
A. Lookman
F
Coach: G. Gasperini
S. Turati
G
L. Caldirola
D
Pedro Pereira
M
A. Bianco
M
G. Kyriakopoulos
M
Dany Mota
F
Coach: A. Nesta
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Atalanta
Verona
Atalanta
Celtic
Venezia
Atalanta
Atalanta
Genoa
Shakhtar Donetsk
Atalanta
M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.