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DBU Pokalen

Referee: S Putros

Esbjerg

S T S S S

0–2

Full-time

Aalborg

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Esbjerg Aalborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

6,0

3,0

Scored

4,5

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DBU Pokalen · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

5,7

6,0

Scored

4,7

5,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+3,7

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Esbjerg 5. · Aalborg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kolding IF	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Brabrand	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Næsby	3	3	0	0	+14	9
4	Skive	3	3	0	0	+13	9
5	Esbjerg	3	3	0	0	+11	9
6	Frem	4	3	0	1	+9	9
7	Holbæk B&I	4	3	0	1	+0	9
8	Holstebro	3	2	0	1	+10	6
9	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
10	Fredericia	3	2	0	1	+9	6
11	Ishøj	3	2	0	1	+8	6
12	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+8	6
13	Silkeborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
14	HB Koge	3	2	0	1	+4	6
15	B 93	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Avarta	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Hillerød	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	Hvidovre IF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
19	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	VSK Århus	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
22	Vendsyssel FF	3	2	0	1	-3	6
23	Middelfart	3	1	2	0	+1	5
24	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+5	4
25	Viborg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
26	Nykobing FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Fremad Amager	3	1	1	1	+0	4
28	Brønshøj	3	1	1	1	-2	4
29	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+9	3
30	Randers FC	2	1	0	1	+9	3
31	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
32	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	1	0	1	+3	3
33	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	OKS	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Hobro	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	AB Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Vejgaard B	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Allerød	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Aarhus Fremad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	SGI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	NB Bornholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	Herlev	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	B 1908	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	B 1913	2	1	0	1	-4	3
52	Solrød	2	1	0	1	-4	3
53	Give Fremad	2	1	0	1	-4	3
54	Morud/Veflinge	2	1	0	1	-6	3
55	ACFC	2	1	0	1	-8	3
56	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Kolding B	2	0	1	1	-1	1
60	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	FB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
97	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
98	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
99	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
100	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
101	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
102	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
103	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
104	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brabrand	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Holbæk B&I	3	2	0	1	-3	6
3	Middelfart	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Skive	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Frem	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	VSK Århus	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	NB Bornholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Solrød	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Morud/Veflinge	2	1	0	1	-6	3
13	Nykobing FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Kolding B	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Brønshøj	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ishøj	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Vanløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Vejgaard B	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Fredericia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	SGI	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	B 1908	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	FB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
69	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
70	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
71	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
72	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
73	ACFC	1	0	0	1	-9	0
74	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
75	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0
76	B 1913	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kolding IF	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Esbjerg	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	Næsby	2	2	0	0	+13	6
4	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+12	6
5	Holstebro	3	2	0	1	+10	6
6	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
7	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+9	6
8	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Silkeborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
10	Frem	2	2	0	0	+8	6
11	Skive	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Hillerød	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	B 93	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Avarta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Hvidovre IF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	Fremad Amager	2	1	1	0	+5	4
21	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+5	4
22	Viborg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
23	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+10	3
24	Randers FC	2	1	0	1	+9	3
25	B 1913	1	1	0	0	+6	3
26	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
28	OKS	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	SGI	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
36	Hobro	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	AB Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Brabrand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Aarhus Fremad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	ACFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Give Fremad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Herlev	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	B 1908	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.