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Puchar Polski

Referee: G Kawałko

Arka Gdynia

U S S T U

1–3

Full-time

Piast Gliwice

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arka Gdynia Piast Gliwice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

6,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arka Gdynia 32. · Piast Gliwice 31. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Ruch Chorzow	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	LKS Lodz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Polonia Warszawa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Polonia Bytom	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Korona Kielce	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Unia Skierniewice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Lech Poznań II	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Odra Opole	2	1	0	1	+4	3
18	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Wigry Suwałki	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	ŁKS Łódź II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Resovia Rzeszów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Kluczbork	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Legnica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2	0	1	1	-1	1
42	Avia Świdnik	2	0	1	1	-2	1
43	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
4	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Unia Skierniewice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Wigry Suwałki	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Kluczbork	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Legnica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Avia Świdnik	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ruch Chorzow	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	LKS Lodz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Polonia Warszawa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Lech Poznań II	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	ŁKS Łódź II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Polonia Bytom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.