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Copa del Rey
Referee: Alberto Aranda
Langreo
1–2
Full-time
Orihuela
U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
19 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
20 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
40 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
41 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
42 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
43 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
44 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Langreo Orihuela
Nacho López 🔁
↦ Keko Hevia
15′
43′
🟨 Pitu
Half-time 0–0
Samu Pérez 🔁
↦ Omar Álvarez
46′
48′
🟨 K. Toner
63′
🔁 Nacho Pastor
↦ K. Toner
72′
🟨 M. Kamal
72′
🟨 E. Isnaldo
1–0 Vander ⚽
73′
J. Guerra 🟨
75′
Sergio Orviz 🔁
↦ Guille Cueto
75′
77′
🔁 Manu Viana
↦ Álex Salto
77′
🔁 Chuli
↦ Pitu
84′
🔁 Ayo
↦ A. Koroma
Pablo Ares 🔁
↦ Juan López
87′
87′
⚽ Chuli 1–1
N. Lopez 🟨
90′
102′
🟥 Chuli
Álex Menéndez 🔁
↦ Nacho López
105′
107′
🔁 Jaime Escobar
↦ Ayo
111′
⚽ Gonzalo Miranda 1–2
112′
🟨 G. Miranda
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Langreo

1 Adrián Torre
4 Keko Hevia
16 David Fernández
2 Sergio Ordóñez
17 Liam
8 Joselu Guerra
10 Juan López
21 Guille Cueto
11 Omar Álvarez
20 Vander
9 Ivan Breñé
Bench (7)
24 Nacho López
7 Samu Pérez
14 Sergio Orviz
19 Pablo Ares
3 Álex Menéndez
13 Yan Denisov
26 Enol Rodríguez

Coach: Pablo Acebal

Orihuela

1 Aitor Arias
4 K. Toner
15 Álex Salto
5 Goyo Medina
8 Kamal
6 A. Koroma
17 Gonzalo Miranda
23 Aschalew Sanmartí
9 Miguel Bianconi
20 E. Isnaldo
7 Pitu
Bench (9)
16 Nacho Pastor
21 Manu Viana
12 Chuli
10 Ayo
2 Jaime Escobar
18 Franco Santana
3 Adrián Morales
11 Runy
13 Manuel Obón

Coach: José Ramón Rodríguez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.