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KNVB Beker

Referee: B Nijhuis

Winterswijk

S S

0–1

Full-time

Heracles

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterswijk Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Noordwijk	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Winterswijk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Hercules	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	OJC Rosmalen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Dovo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	SC Genemuiden	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
16	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
18	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
19	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
24	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
48	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
49	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Noordwijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
25	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Winterswijk Heracles

Half-time 0–0

l. Redeker 🔁

↦ N. Jansen

46′

🔁 L. Milani

↦ R. Roosken

46′

🔁 J. Wieckhoff

↦ M. Benita

46′

🔁 S. Podgoreanu

↦ T. Bruns

60′

🔁 I. Mesík

↦ J. Hoogma

D. Pepa 🔁

↦ H. Memić

61′

K. Tank 🔁

↦ G. Malawau

65′

66′

⚽ J. Talvitie 0–1

K. Leerdam

T. Dingemans 🔁

↦ J. Grevers

74′

🔁 S. ’t Zand

↦ M. Engels

J. Piek 🔁

↦ S. Winkel

78′

S. Veltkamp 🔁

↦ J. Mulder

78′

85′

🔁 D. van Oorschot

↦ J. Talvitie

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Winterswijk

1 M. Ebbers

14 H. Memić

4 D. Hartgerink

7 M. Veldhuis

5 J. Grevers

3 J. Mulder

11 G. Malawau

10 J. Harmsen

12 N. Jansen

28 J. Koenders

21 S. Winkel

Bench (11)

9 l. Redeker

2 D. Pepa

20 K. Tank

25 T. Dingemans

6 J. Piek

24 S. Veltkamp

27 F. Liet

29 J. Esselink

16 M. Stortelers

8 D. Winkel

23 L. Dunnewold

Coach: E. Zandstra

Heracles

16 T. Jansink

18 K. Leerdam

J. Hoogma

12 R. Roosken

2 M. Benita

17 T. Bruns

8 M. Engels

5 J. Bruijn

14 B. De Keersmaecker

J. Hornkamp

J. Talvitie

Bench (12)

22 L. Milani

3 J. Wieckhoff

29 S. Podgoreanu

24 I. Mesík

10 S. ’t Zand

20 D. van Oorschot

26 D. van Kaam

28 G. Sambo

30 R. Mantel

1 F. de Keijzer

4 D. Mirani

13 J. Žambůrek

Coach: E. van de Looi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

25. Sep KNVB 1 year ago

4. Sep KNVB 2 years ago

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

2,1 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

15,7 / match

Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Winterswijk

Heracles

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee