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Copa del Rey
Referee: Manuel Pérez
0–1
Full-time
Castellon
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Águilas Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,0
3,5
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
36 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
37 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
76 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
78 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
79 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
80 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Águilas Castellon
45′
🟨 D. Villahermosa
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Chirino
↦ Óscar Gil
Kensly 🔁
↦ Nando García
64′
Hyeon-Jun Park 🔁
↦ Juan Delgado
65′
68′
🟨 S. Moyita
B. Alonso 🟨
70′
Mario Abenza 🔁
↦ Tropi
72′
73′
Peré 0–1
74′
🔁 Israel Suero
↦ B. Cipenga
74′
🔁 Raúl Sánchez
↦ D. Flakus Bosilj
74′
🔁 De Miguel
↦ M. Seuntjens
77′
🔁 José Albert
↦ Salva Ruiz
Tomás Inglés 🔁
↦ Isi Ros
80′
Javi Castedo 🔁
↦ J. Rydstrand
80′
D. Morillas 🟨
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Águilas

1 Iván Buigues
21 David Morillas
2 Blas Alonso
6 Pelón
15 E. Nwenyi
7 J. Rydstrand
5 Tropi
14 Nando García
8 Aitor Hidalgo
23 Juan Delgado
22 Isi Ros
Bench (9)
20 Kensly
17 Hyeon-Jun Park
19 Mario Abenza
26 Tomás Inglés
10 Javi Castedo
13 Lisardo
27 Nicolás Ortiz
28 Eneko Cuéllar
25 Mario Nieto

Coach: Fran Alcoy

Castellon

13 A. Abedzadeh
17 Salva Ruiz
14 Óscar Gil
33 J. Vertrouwd
20 M. Seuntjens
7 Sergio Moyita
19 Dani Villahermosa
11 Douglas Aurélio
12 D. Flakus Bosilj
16 B. Cipenga
46 Peré
Bench (10)
22 D. Chirino
4 Israel Suero
10 Raúl Sánchez
9 De Miguel
27 José Albert
5 Alberto Jiménez
6 T. van den Belt
1 G. Crettaz
15 J. Willems
51 Gonzalo Pastor

Coach: D. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Pérez · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.