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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Kilmarnock
S T S T U
0–1
Full-time
Hearts
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
46%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
43%
31%
Both score Ø 41%
50%
31%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 6. · Hearts 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 14 11 3 0 +27 36
2 Rangers 13 9 1 3 +20 28
3 St Mirren 14 6 4 4 +0 22
4 Hearts 13 6 2 5 +1 20
5 Hibernian 14 4 6 4 -1 18
6 Kilmarnock 14 4 5 5 +0 17
7 Dundee 13 4 5 4 -2 17
8 Ross County 14 3 5 6 -9 14
9 Motherwell 14 3 4 7 -6 13
10 Aberdeen 12 3 4 5 -6 13
11 ST Johnstone 13 2 5 6 -11 11
12 Livingston 14 2 4 8 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Aug -23 Hearts – Kilmarnock 0–0 1. Apr -23 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–1 17. Dec -22 Hearts – Kilmarnock 3–1 9. Oct -22 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–2 5. Feb -20 Hearts – Kilmarnock 2–3

Match report

Kilmarnock Hearts
18′
⚽ W. Dennis 1–0
own goal
30′
🔁 T. Sibbick
↦ L. Boyce
Will Dennis 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
64′
🔁 K. Tagawa
↦ Y. Oda
64′
🔁 C. Devlin
↦ J. Grant
David Watson 🟨
68′
M. Kennedy 🔁
↦ R. Deas
70′
79′
🟨 Calem Nieuwenhof
A. Dallas 🔁
↦ D. Watson
80′
84′
🔁 A. Denholm
↦ C. Nieuwenhof
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
8 B. Lyons M
22 L. Donnelly M
3 C. Ndaba M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
10 M. Kennedy
21 A. Dallas
25 S. Warnock
15 F. Murray
19 T. Davies
31 L. Polworth
20 K. O'Hara
14 J. Sanders
7 R. McKenzie

Coach: D. McInnes

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
3 S. Kingsley D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
11 Y. Oda M
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
6 B. Baningime M
7 J. Grant M
19 A. Cochrane M
10 L. Boyce F
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
21 T. Sibbick
30 K. Tagawa
14 C. Devlin
22 A. Denholm
16 A. Halliday
51 A. Lowry
5 P. Haring
12 M. McGovern
17 A. Forrest

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
🔒
U
3,32
🔒
B ✓
2,45
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,98
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,80
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.