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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Hearts
S U U S T
0–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
8 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 4. · Kilmarnock 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 St Mirren 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Rangers 2 1 0 1 +3 3
4 Hearts 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Kilmarnock 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Ross County 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Motherwell 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Dundee 2 0 1 1 -1 1
9 Aberdeen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
10 Livingston 2 0 1 1 -4 1
11 Hibernian 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 ST Johnstone 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Kilmarnock
Lawrence Shankland 🟨
30′
Cameron Devlin 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
Nathaniel Atkinson 🟨
55′
L. Boyce 🔁
↦ A. Lowry
59′
67′
🟨 Danny Armstrong
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ K. Tagawa
68′
A. Denholm 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
68′
74′
🔁 K. Vassell
↦ M. Watkins
T. Sibbick 🔁
↦ N. Atkinson
78′
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ Y. Oda
78′
85′
🟨 Bradley Lyons
89′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ K. Magennis
92′
🔁 L. Donnelly
↦ D. Armstrong
93′
🟨 Rory McKenzie
95′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
13 N. Atkinson D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
3 S. Kingsley D
14 C. Devlin M
5 P. Haring M
11 Y. Oda M
9 L. Shankland M
51 A. Lowry M
30 K. Tagawa F
Bench (9)
10 L. Boyce
77 K. Vargas
22 A. Denholm
21 T. Sibbick
17 A. Forrest
16 A. Halliday
8 C. Nieuwenhof
54 J. Wilson
12 M. McGovern

Coach: F. McAvoy

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Lyons M
12 D. Watson M
16 K. Magennis M
3 C. Ndaba M
10 M. Kennedy F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
9 K. Vassell
7 R. McKenzie
22 L. Donnelly
20 K. O'Hara
15 F. Murray
19 T. Davies
31 L. Polworth
18 I. Cameron
14 J. Sanders

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,85
U ✓
3,61
B
4,11
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.