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Copa del Rey

Referee: Javier Figueiredo

Salamanca UDS

1–0

Full-time

Alcorcon

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
24	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
7	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salamanca UDS Alcorcon

A. Mendo 🟨

3′

27′

🟨 I. Alonso

32′

🟨 A. Santiago

34′

🟨 J. Rentero

C. Cristeto 🟨

40′

S. Gassama 🟨

43′

Half-time 0–0

Álex Caramelo 🔁

↦ M. Galván

59′

68′

🔁 Marc Lachèvre

↦ Sergio Navarro

69′

🔁 Yael Ballesteros

↦ Esteban Aparicio

69′

🔁 Andrés García

↦ Edu Llorente

Jesús Ares 🔁

↦ Álvaro González

74′

Maikel Villajos 🔁

↦ S. Emaná

74′

77′

🔁 Rayco Rodríguez

↦ Eric Pérez

77′

🔁 Miguel Capi

↦ Mario da Costa

1–0 Álex Caramelo ⚽

81′

G. Carmona 🔁

↦ J. Victoria

87′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Salamanca UDS

13 Eric Ruiz

4 Iván Casado

5 Javier Murúa

3 S. Gassama

6 Carlos Cristeto

8 Antonio Amaro

15 Curro Muñoz

11 M. Galván

18 S. Emaná

22 J. Victoria

7 Álvaro González

Bench (11)

20 Álex Caramelo

17 Jesús Ares

9 Maikel Villajos

14 G. Carmona

19 Javi Navas

31 Imanol González

10 Diego Benito

21 Óscar Lorenzo

1 Jon Villanueva

23 Ian Olivera

28 Asier Domínguez

Coach: J. Chiapas

Alcorcon

13 Josele Martínez

27 Álvaro Santiago

30 Samu Rodríguez

14 Mario da Costa

5 Javier Rentero

6 Imanol Alonso

18 Stitch

35 Edu Llorente

7 Esteban Aparicio

17 Sergio Navarro

Eric Pérez

Bench (10)

22 Marc Lachèvre

8 Yael Ballesteros

34 Andrés García

10 Rayco Rodríguez

16 Miguel Capi

21 Rafa Llorente

4 Joan Rojas

26 Hashmi Al Hussain

12 J. Núñez

1 Gaizka Ayesa

Coach: Pablo Álvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

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–

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Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

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O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

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O3,5

–

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U3,5 ✓

–

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Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

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BLS nei ✓

–

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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Salamanca UDS

Alcorcon

Odds comparison

Recent matches