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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

St. Gallen

T U T T U

2–2

Full-time

Winterthur

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

2,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

36%

18%

Points per game

1,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

64%

36%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,6

Conceded

1,4

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%

18 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 7. · Winterthur 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	11	7	2	2	+3	-0.5	23
2	Zurich	11	6	3	2	+5	-1.0	21
3	Lugano	11	6	3	2	+5	-0.3	21
4	Basel	11	6	1	4	+13	+5.9	19
5	Luzern	11	5	3	3	+4	+3.1	18
6	Lausanne	12	5	2	5	+2	+7.8	17
7	St. Gallen	11	4	3	4	+5	-3.5	15
8	Yverdon	12	4	3	5	-5	-7.7	15
9	Sion	11	3	4	4	+0	+7.0	13
10	Young Boys	11	2	3	6	-7	-1.9	9
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	2	7	-8	+1.1	8
12	Winterthur	11	2	1	8	-17	-10.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.7	13
2	Lausanne	6	4	0	2	+6	+6.9	12
3	Servette	5	4	0	1	+1	-2.0	12
4	Zurich	6	3	2	1	+3	-2.3	11
5	St. Gallen	5	3	1	1	+7	-0.0	10
6	Sion	6	2	4	0	+6	+8.5	10
7	Luzern	6	3	1	2	+3	+4.0	10
8	Yverdon	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.7	10
9	Basel	5	3	0	2	+1	+3.8	9
10	Winterthur	6	2	1	3	-7	-3.8	7
11	Young Boys	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.3	5
12	Grasshoppers	5	1	2	2	-2	+3.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.6	11
2	Basel	6	3	1	2	+12	+2.2	10
3	Zurich	5	3	1	1	+2	+1.3	10
4	Luzern	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.9	8
5	Lugano	5	2	2	1	+0	-1.9	8
6	St. Gallen	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.5	5
7	Yverdon	6	1	2	3	-4	-6.0	5
8	Lausanne	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.0	5
9	Young Boys	6	1	1	4	-6	+2.5	4
10	Sion	5	1	0	4	-6	-1.5	3
11	Grasshoppers	6	1	0	5	-6	-2.1	3
12	Winterthur	5	0	0	5	-10	-6.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.