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Premiership
Referee: L Wilson
Dundee United
T U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Motherwell
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
33%
78%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 4. · Motherwell 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 9 8 1 0 +24 25
2 Aberdeen 9 8 1 0 +10 25
3 Rangers 9 6 1 2 +8 19
4 Dundee United 9 4 3 2 +3 15
5 Motherwell 9 4 1 4 -1 13
6 ST Johnstone 10 3 1 6 -7 10
7 Ross County 10 2 4 4 -8 10
8 Dundee 9 2 3 4 -2 9
9 Kilmarnock 9 2 3 4 -8 9
10 St Mirren 10 2 2 6 -8 8
11 Hearts 10 1 3 6 -5 6
12 Hibernian 9 1 3 5 -6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. May -23 Motherwell – Dundee United 3–2 15. Apr -23 Motherwell – Dundee United 1–2 29. Oct -22 Dundee United – Motherwell 0–1 3. Sep -22 Motherwell – Dundee United 0–0 30. Apr -22 Dundee United – Motherwell 1–0

Match report

Dundee United Motherwell
Luca Stephenson 🟨
20′
23′
⚽ T. Maswanhise 0–1
D. Casey
34′
🔁 S. Blaney
↦ S. ODonnell
1–1 S. Dalby ⚽
K. Trapanovski
36′
40′
🟨 Ewan Wilson
Half-time 1–1
48′
🟨 Shane Blaney
52′
🟨 Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
Emmanuel Adegboyega 🟨
61′
J. van der Sande 🔁
↦ K. Trapanovski
61′
R. Strain 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
61′
70′
🔁 A. Halliday
↦ T. Sparrow
70′
🔁 Z. Robinson
↦ A. Stamatelopoulos
74′
⚽ T. Maswanhise 1–2
Will Ferry 🟨
80′
R. Odada 🔁
↦ D. Babunski
83′
M. Thomson 🔁
↦ L. Stephenson
83′
85′
🟨 Marvin Kaleta
86′
🔁 Jair Tavares
↦ T. Maswanhise
86′
🔁 J. Koutroumbis
↦ M. Kaleta
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-3
1 J. Walton G
16 E. Adegboyega D
31 D. Gallagher D
4 K. Holt D
17 L. Stephenson M
5 V. Ševelj M
10 D. Babunski M
11 W. Ferry M
7 K. Trapanovski F
19 S. Dalby F
15 G. Middleton F
Bench (9)
20 J. van der Sande
2 R. Strain
12 R. Odada
29 M. Thomson
70 M. Ubochioma
18 K. Fotheringham
25 D. Richards
42 O. Stirton
39 S. Constable

Coach: J. Goodwin

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
13 A. Oxborough G
2 S. O'Donnell D
5 K. Balmer D
15 D. Casey D
21 M. Kaleta M
38 L. Miller M
23 E. Wilson M
3 S. Seddon M
7 T. Sparrow F
14 A. Stamatelopoulos F
55 T. Maswanhise F
Bench (9)
20 S. Blaney
11 A. Halliday
9 Z. Robinson
90 Jair Tavares
22 J. Koutroumbis
24 M. Ebiye
1 K. Hegyi
43 J. Gillies
6 D. Zdravkovski

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
🔒
U
3,37
🔒
B ✓
3,28
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,91
🔒
U2,5
1,88
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Wilson · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.