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Copa del Rey
Referee: Millan Bárcenas
0–0
Full-time
Ponferradina
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
23 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
24 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
51 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.