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Premiership
Referee: R Hardie
Kilmarnock
U S U S S
0–0
Full-time
Hearts
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 49%
39%
58%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
42%
39%
Both score Ø 49%
55%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
16 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 4. · Hearts 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 33 24 6 3 +54 78
2 Rangers 33 24 3 6 +49 75
3 Hearts 33 19 5 9 +12 62
4 Kilmarnock 33 13 12 8 +9 51
5 St Mirren 33 12 7 14 -5 43
6 Dundee 33 10 11 12 -10 41
7 Hibernian 33 9 12 12 -7 39
8 Motherwell 33 8 13 12 -5 37
9 Aberdeen 33 8 11 14 -14 35
10 ST Johnstone 33 7 10 16 -22 31
11 Ross County 34 7 9 18 -26 30
12 Livingston 34 4 9 21 -35 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Hearts
Lewis Mayo 🟨
36′
Joe Wright 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
B. Lyons 🔁
↦ R. Deas
46′
48′
🔁 M. Tait
↦ B. Baningime
Liam Donnelly 🟨
61′
75′
🔁 A. Forrest
↦ K. Vargas
D. Watson 🔁
↦ L. Polworth
77′
K. van Veen 🔁
↦ K. Vassell
77′
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
77′
C. Ndaba 🔁
↦ J. Wright
82′
82′
🔁 A. Denholm
↦ C. Devlin
82′
🔁 B. McKay
↦ J. Grant
Stuart Findlay 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 W. Dennis G
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
17 S. Findlay D
6 R. Deas D
11 D. Armstrong M
22 L. Donnelly M
31 L. Polworth M
10 M. Kennedy M
9 K. Vassell F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
8 B. Lyons
12 D. Watson
99 K. van Veen
39 G. Mackay-Steven
3 C. Ndaba
7 R. McKenzie
20 K. O'Hara
15 F. Murray
18 I. Cameron

Coach: D. McInnes

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
3 S. Kingsley D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
81 D. Lembikisa M
14 C. Devlin M
6 B. Baningime M
7 J. Grant M
19 A. Cochrane M
77 K. Vargas F
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
25 M. Tait
17 A. Forrest
22 A. Denholm
18 B. McKay
29 S. Fraser
11 Y. Oda
30 K. Tagawa
21 T. Sibbick
1 C. Gordon

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U ✓
3,30
B
3,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hardie · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.