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Premiership

Referee: E Anderson

Kilmarnock

T T U T U

2–1

Full-time

Hearts

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 33%

21%

45%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

48%

66%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

36% Possession 64%

17 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Hearts 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	29	27	1	1	+72	82
2	Rangers	29	23	4	2	+45	73
3	Hearts	29	13	6	10	+6	45
4	Aberdeen	29	13	2	14	-6	41
5	Hibernian	29	12	4	13	-1	40
6	Livingston	29	11	6	12	-13	39
7	St Mirren	29	10	8	11	-11	38
8	ST Johnstone	29	9	5	15	-15	32
9	Motherwell	29	8	6	15	-8	30
10	Kilmarnock	29	6	7	16	-27	25
11	Ross County	29	6	6	17	-18	24
12	Dundee United	29	5	7	17	-24	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	15	0	0	+38	45
2	Rangers	14	12	2	0	+28	38
3	Aberdeen	15	10	1	4	+20	31
4	Hearts	14	10	1	3	+14	31
5	St Mirren	15	8	4	3	+4	28
6	Livingston	16	7	4	5	-3	25
7	Hibernian	14	7	3	4	+9	24
8	Kilmarnock	14	6	5	3	-1	23
9	Ross County	15	4	3	8	-7	15
10	Dundee United	15	4	2	9	-10	14
11	ST Johnstone	13	3	3	7	-5	12
12	Motherwell	14	3	3	8	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	12	1	1	+34	37
2	Rangers	15	11	2	2	+17	35
3	ST Johnstone	16	6	2	8	-10	20
4	Motherwell	15	5	3	7	+0	18
5	Hibernian	15	5	1	9	-10	16
6	Hearts	15	3	5	7	-8	14
7	Livingston	13	4	2	7	-10	14
8	St Mirren	14	2	4	8	-15	10
9	Aberdeen	14	3	1	10	-26	10
10	Ross County	14	2	3	9	-11	9
11	Dundee United	14	1	5	8	-14	8
12	Kilmarnock	15	0	2	13	-26	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.