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Copa del Rey
Referee: Pablo González
0–3
Full-time
Sevilla
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Rozas Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

29% Possession 71%
6 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
17 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
33 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
34 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
35 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
36 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.