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Copa del Rey
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Numancia
S T S S T
0–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Numancia Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0 Shots 0
0 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 0
1 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
23 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
24 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
51 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Numancia Sp Gijon
32′
🟨 P. Mbemba
Half-time 0–0
A. Ribeiro 🟨
55′
O. De Frutos 🟨
59′
David Sanz 🔁
↦ Christian Delgado
60′
Javi Bonilla 🔁
↦ J. Vera
60′
Rubén Sanchidrián 🔁
↦ Dani Fernández
60′
61′
Álex Oyón 0–1
Dani Queipo
65′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ Jonathan Dubasin
Jony 🔁
↦ Alain Ribeiro
66′
77′
🔁 Lander Olaetxea
↦ P. Mbemba
77′
🔁 J. Otero
↦ J. Caicedo
J. Bonilla 🟨
79′
Fabio Conte 🔁
↦ Asier Grande
85′
F. Conte 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Numancia

4-2-3-1
1 P. Kudakovskiy G
5 Óscar de Frutos D
6 M. Gning D
22 Asier Grande
21 Christian Delgado M
16 Rementería M
12 J. Vera
8 Alain Ribeiro M
11 Aitor Seguín M
9 Dieste
17 Dani Fernández
Bench (9)
14 David Sanz
3 Javi Bonilla
7 Rubén Sanchidrián
19 Jony
10 Fabio Conte
13 Dorronsoro
30 Pedro Benito
18 Asier Teijeira
28 Soro

Coach: Aitor Calle

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
13 C. Sánchez G
20 Kevin Vázquez D
15 N. Maraš D
29 Y. Kembo D
3 Cote D
6 Nacho Martín M
28 P. Mbemba M
27 Álex Oyón M
17 Jonathan Dubasin F
16 J. Caicedo F
9 Dani Queipo F
Bench (11)
11 Víctor Campuzano
14 Lander Olaetxea
19 J. Otero
4 Róber Pier
1 Rubén Yáñez
7 Gaspar Campos
5 Pablo García
2 Guille Rosas
22 Diego Sánchez
10 Nacho Méndez
18 César Gelabert

Coach: Rubén Albés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.