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Serie B
Referee: L Marinelli
Mantova
S T U U T
0–0
Full-time
Palermo
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
30%
30%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
6 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
28 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mantova 17. · Palermo 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 11 6 4 1 +11 22
2 Spezia 11 5 6 0 +7 21
3 Pisa 10 6 3 1 +6 21
4 Cremonese 11 5 3 3 +4 18
5 Juve Stabia 11 4 4 3 +0 16
6 Palermo 10 4 3 3 +3 15
7 Cesena 11 4 3 4 +1 15
8 Sampdoria 10 4 2 4 +2 14
9 Cosenza 11 3 5 3 -1 14
10 Brescia 11 4 2 5 -2 14
11 Bari 11 2 7 2 +2 13
12 Sudtirol 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Catanzaro 10 2 6 2 +2 12
14 Carrarese 11 3 3 5 -2 12
15 Reggiana 11 3 3 5 -2 12
16 Salernitana 11 3 3 5 -3 12
17 Mantova 10 3 3 4 -3 12
18 Modena 11 2 5 4 -2 11
19 Cittadella 10 2 3 5 -9 9
20 Frosinone 11 1 5 5 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mantova Palermo
34′
🟨 Pietro Ceccaroni
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Lund
↦ P. Ceccaroni
Francesco Galuppini ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
57′
57′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ T. Henry
F. Ruocco 🔁
↦ A. Fiori
71′
71′
🔁 V. Verre
↦ F. Ranocchia
71′
🔁 S. Appuah
↦ R. Insigne
D. Bragantini 🔁
↦ F. Galuppini
72′
73′
🟨 Salim Diakité
A. Debenedetti 🔁
↦ L. Mancuso
77′
M. Solini 🔁
↦ C. Bani
78′
79′
🔁 F. Di Francesco
↦ F. Di Mariano
F. Brignani 🔁
↦ S. Cella
85′
Federico Artioli 🟨
92′
95′
🟨 Jérémy Le Douaron
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Mantova

3-4-2-1
1 M. Festa G
87 S. De Maio D
29 S. Cella D
6 C. Bani D
20 G. Fedel M
21 S. Trimboli M
24 F. Artioli M
11 A. Fiori M
70 M. Aramu F
14 F. Galuppini F
19 L. Mancuso F
Bench (12)
18 F. Ruocco
30 D. Bragantini
9 A. Debenedetti
4 M. Solini
13 F. Brignani
10 D. Wieser
12 L. Sonzogni
28 M. Muroni
23 E. Panizzi
8 S. Burrai
27 T. Maggioni
5 A. Redolfi

Coach: D. Possanzini

Palermo

4-1-4-1
1 S. Desplanches G
23 S. Diakité D
18 I. Nedelcearu D
43 D. Nikolaou D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
6 C. Gomes M
11 R. Insigne M
8 J. Segre M
10 F. Ranocchia M
7 F. Di Mariano M
20 T. Henry F
Bench (11)
3 K. Lund
21 J. Le Douaron
26 V. Verre
19 S. Appuah
17 F. Di Francesco
25 A. Buttaro
12 M. Nespola
27 N. Pierozzi
77 F. Di Bartolo
29 P. Peda
14 A. Vasić

Coach: A. Dionisi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U ✓
3,28
B
2,53
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.