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Premiership

Referee: W Collum

Hearts

S T U S T

1–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — Premiership · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 47%

57%

37%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

37%

47%

Both score Ø 47%

37%

57%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

16 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 3. · Kilmarnock 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	30	22	5	3	+48	71
2	Rangers	29	23	1	5	+48	70
3	Hearts	30	17	4	9	+9	55
4	Kilmarnock	30	11	11	8	+6	44
5	St Mirren	30	12	6	12	-1	42
6	Dundee	30	10	9	11	-9	39
7	Hibernian	30	9	11	10	-4	38
8	Motherwell	30	7	11	12	-6	32
9	Aberdeen	30	7	9	14	-15	30
10	ST Johnstone	31	6	10	15	-21	28
11	Ross County	30	6	9	15	-23	27
12	Livingston	30	3	8	19	-32	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	11	3	1	+27	36
2	Rangers	15	12	0	3	+25	36
3	Kilmarnock	16	9	4	3	+11	31
4	Hearts	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	St Mirren	15	8	3	4	+6	27
6	Hibernian	16	6	4	6	+1	22
7	Dundee	14	6	4	4	+0	22
8	Ross County	15	5	4	6	-3	19
9	ST Johnstone	16	4	6	6	-7	18
10	Motherwell	15	4	4	7	-1	16
11	Aberdeen	14	3	6	5	-4	15
12	Livingston	14	2	5	7	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	11	2	2	+21	35
2	Rangers	14	11	1	2	+23	34
3	Hearts	15	9	0	6	+1	27
4	Dundee	16	4	5	7	-9	17
5	Hibernian	14	3	7	4	-5	16
6	Motherwell	15	3	7	5	-5	16
7	St Mirren	15	4	3	8	-7	15
8	Aberdeen	16	4	3	9	-11	15
9	Kilmarnock	14	2	7	5	-5	13
10	ST Johnstone	15	2	4	9	-14	10
11	Ross County	15	1	5	9	-20	8
12	Livingston	16	1	3	12	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.