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Puchar Polski

Referee: T Wajda

Lech Poznań II

T T S U

1–3

Full-time

Korona Kielce

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznań II Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 21%

25%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Puchar Polski · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lech Poznań II 11. · Korona Kielce 30. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Ruch Chorzow	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Polonia Bytom	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Lech Poznań II	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Odra Opole	2	1	0	1	+4	3
14	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Wigry Suwałki	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Kluczbork	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	ŁKS Łódź II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Resovia Rzeszów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Legnica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Avia Świdnik	2	0	1	1	-2	1
42	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Wigry Suwałki	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Kluczbork	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Legnica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Avia Świdnik	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ruch Chorzow	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lech Poznań II	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	ŁKS Łódź II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Polonia Bytom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.