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Puchar Polski
Referee: D Gawęcki

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandecja Nowy Sącz Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — Puchar Polski · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sandecja Nowy Sącz 5. · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 32.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Ruch Chorzow 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Pogon Szczecin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Hutnik Kraków 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Polonia Bytom 2 1 1 0 +2 4
10 Podbeskidzie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
11 Lech Poznań II 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Puszcza 2 1 1 0 +1 4
13 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +4 3
14 Slask Wroclaw 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
16 Wigry Suwałki 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Lechia Zielona Góra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 LKS Lodz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Polonia Warszawa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Kluczbork 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Warta Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 ŁKS Łódź II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Resovia Rzeszów 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Radomiak Radom 2 1 0 1 -2 3
28 Piast Gliwice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Arka Gdynia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Motor Lublin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Zaglebie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Legnica 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Rakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Barycz Sułów 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Avia Świdnik 2 0 1 1 -2 1
42 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Cracovia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Radunia Stężyca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Unia Swarzędz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Gornik Zabrze 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Elana Toruń 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Jastrzębie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Podhale Nowy Targ 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Grom Nowy Staw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Star Starachowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Podbeskidzie II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandecja Nowy Sącz Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
P. Buchta 🟨
7′
31′
🟨 A. Gajgier
K. Talar 🟨
38′
W. Klos 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
D. Pietraszkiewicz 🔁
↦ J. Sangowski
46′
1–0 K. Smajdor
59′
68′
🔁 J. Niewiadomski
↦ E. Bahonko
68′
🔁 K. Sommerfeld
↦ N. Niski
E. Kosinski 🔁
↦ E. Pieczarka
72′
J. Wilczynski 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 P. Urbański
↦ K. Odolak
91′
🟨 K. Los
91′
🟨
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

M. Poláček
P. Buchta
K. Smajdor
M. Rutkowski
P. Bryła
M. Kwietniewski
W. Kłos
J. Sangowski
E. Pieczarka
K. Talar
J. Wilczyński
Bench (7)
D. Pietraszkiewicz
E. Kosinski
J. Bednarek
K. Wokacz
P. Kolesár
P. Kowalik
P. Peciak

Coach: Ł. Mierzejewski

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

D. Sydorenko
K. Nojszewski
K. Łoś
A. Gajgier
I. Korczakowski
Matheus Dias
J. Apolinarski
N. Niski
E. Bahonko
D. Dzięgielewski
K. Odolak
Bench (9)
J. Niewiadomski
K. Sommerfeld
P. Urbański
D. Jaroń
G. Gulczyński
G. Skowroński
J. Cierpiał
J. Lis
M. Glacel

Coach: M. Sasal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.