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Premiership
Referee: M Roncone
St Mirren
T S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Ross County
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 5. · Ross County 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Hibernian 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Ross County 4 2 1 1 +1 7
4 Dundee United 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 St Mirren 3 2 0 1 -1 6
6 Celtic 2 1 1 0 +4 4
7 ST Johnstone 4 1 1 2 -3 4
8 Aberdeen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Kilmarnock 4 0 2 2 -2 2
10 Motherwell 4 0 2 2 -2 2
11 Livingston 4 0 2 2 -4 2
12 Hamilton 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Ross County
1–0 J. Obika
14′
24′
🔁 K. Watson
↦ C. Donaldson
28′
🟨 Josh Reid
41′
🟨 Iain Vigurs
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Charles-Cook
↦ H. Paton
46′
🔁 C. Tremarco
↦ J. Reid
Joe Shaughnessy 🟥
62′
C. MacPherson 🔁
↦ K. McAllister
65′
70′
N. Sheron 2–0
own goal
71′
🔁 S. Kelly
↦ I. Vigurs
82′
🔁 J. Mullin
↦ C. Randall
K. Dennis 🔁
↦ J. Obika
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-4-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
6 N. Sheron M
5 C. McCarthy D
16 S. Foley M
17 J. McGrath M
10 K. McAllister M
9 J. Obika F
19 J. Morias F
Bench (9)
14 C. MacPherson
20 K. Dennis
25 E. Erhahon
26 D. Lyness
33 L. Jamieson
30 J. Henderson
15 J. Baird
35 J. Jack
27 P. Urminský

Coach: J. Goodwin

Ross County

4-2-3-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
2 C. Randall D
25 C. Donaldson D
16 A. Iacovitti D
43 J. Reid D
11 I. Vigurs M
7 M. Gardyne M
6 R. Draper M
24 H. Paton M
9 B. McKay F
27 R. Stewart M
Bench (9)
15 K. Watson
17 R. Charles-Cook
3 C. Tremarco
18 S. Kelly
14 J. Mullin
20 B. Spittal
22 J. Tillson
8 O. Shaw
21 R. Doohan

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U ✓
3,30
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.