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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Dundee United
T S T T T
2–1
Full-time
St Mirren
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 29%
29%
29%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,6
0,6
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dundee United 8. · St Mirren 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 7 6 1 0 +15 19
2 Celtic 6 5 1 0 +14 16
3 Hibernian 7 5 1 1 +8 16
4 Aberdeen 5 4 0 1 +3 12
5 Ross County 8 3 2 3 -4 11
6 ST Johnstone 8 2 1 5 -5 7
7 St Mirren 7 2 1 4 -6 7
8 Dundee United 7 2 1 4 -8 7
9 Hamilton 6 2 0 4 -6 6
10 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 -1 5
11 Livingston 7 1 2 4 -5 5
12 Motherwell 7 1 2 4 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United St Mirren
1–0 L. Shankland
33′
Calum Butcher 🟨
37′
38′
🟨 Kyle McAllister
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Spörle
52′
56′
🔁 Í. Durmuş
↦ K. McAllister
56′
🔁 D. Connolly
↦ J. McGrath
60′
🟥 Richard Tait
64′
D. Connolly 2–1
66′
🔁 C. MacPherson
↦ J. Obika
P. Pawlett 🔁
↦ L. Chalmers
81′
D. Glass 🔁
↦ N. Clark
83′
85′
🔁 J. Morias
↦ E. Erhahon
Declan Glass 🟨
86′
Peter Pawlett 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-4-2
1 B. Siegrist G
6 M. Reynolds D
12 R. Edwards D
3 A. Spörle M
17 J. Robson D
18 C. Butcher M
20 L. Bolton D
23 I. Harkes M
10 N. Clark F
24 L. Shankland F
15 L. Chalmers M
Bench (9)
8 P. Pawlett
21 D. Glass
27 L. Appéré
7 P. McMullan
4 D. Powers
19 D. Mehmet
22 K. Freeman
11 C. Smith
30 L. Neilson

Coach: M. Mellon

St Mirren

4-1-4-1
29 Z. Zlámal G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
16 S. Foley M
17 J. McGrath M
10 K. McAllister M
25 E. Erhahon M
9 J. Obika M
23 L. Erwin F
Bench (7)
11 Í. Durmuş
21 D. Connolly
14 C. MacPherson
19 J. Morias
33 L. Jamieson
6 N. Sheron
27 P. Urminský

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,35
B
3,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.