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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
ST Johnstone
U T S T T
1–0
Full-time
St Mirren
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
40%
25%
Both score Ø 33%
40%
25%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,6
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
21 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 9. · St Mirren 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Hibernian 5 4 1 0 +6 13
3 Ross County 6 2 2 2 +0 8
4 Celtic 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Dundee United 5 2 1 2 +0 7
6 St Mirren 4 2 1 1 -1 7
7 Aberdeen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Livingston 6 1 2 3 -4 5
9 ST Johnstone 5 1 1 3 -4 4
10 Hamilton 4 1 0 3 -5 3
11 Motherwell 5 0 2 3 -3 2
12 Kilmarnock 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone St Mirren
38′
🔁 C. MacPherson
↦ K. McAllister
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Connolly
↦ J. Morias
50′
🔁 K. Dennis
↦ M. Fraser
66′
🟨 Cameron MacPherson
S. May 🔁
↦ M. OHalloran
67′
1–0 S. May
C. Conway
72′
M. Davidson 🔁
↦ C. Hendry
83′
89′
🔁 L. Jamieson
↦ N. Sheron
C. Kane 🔁
↦ C. Conway
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
12 E. Parish G
3 S. Tanser M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 J. Kerr D
15 D. McNamara M
7 C. Conway F
10 D. Wotherspoon M
18 A. McCann M
11 M. O'Halloran F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
14 S. May
8 M. Davidson
9 C. Kane
20 J. Robertson
45 R. Sinclair
16 I. Olaofe
24 C. Booth
19 S. Rooney
2 W. Duffy

Coach: C. Davidson

St Mirren

3-1-4-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
22 M. Fraser D
6 N. Sheron M
5 C. McCarthy D
16 S. Foley M
11 Í. Durmuş M
17 J. McGrath M
10 K. McAllister M
9 J. Obika F
19 J. Morias F
Bench (9)
14 C. MacPherson
21 D. Connolly
20 K. Dennis
33 L. Jamieson
26 D. Lyness
25 E. Erhahon
15 J. Baird
30 J. Henderson
35 J. Jack

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
3,19
B
3,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.